TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Purdue Boilermakersof Iowa Hawkeyes, Purdue Boilermakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x085d…5302backed Iowa Hawkeyes0c31,250$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2513550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Iowa Hawkeyes18c5,983$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.832,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Iowa Hawkeyes10c5,020$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3969142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Purdue Boilermakers74c4,882$3,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.45450%27 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a7…5314backed Purdue Boilermakers55c1,816$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.012227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Boilermakers76c1,807$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.534,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Iowa Hawkeyes23c1,194$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.14633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6089…00e2backed Iowa Hawkeyes24c1,100$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ee…5cf0backed Purdue Boilermakers54c939.04$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.162853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Iowa Hawkeyes42c811.12$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.383,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes15c665.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c568.9$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.935534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf6…8a4dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes24c495.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.411353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Iowa Hawkeyes28c473.42$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.331,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce5…8fa2backed Iowa Hawkeyes45c385.85$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.241266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes22c375.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.981,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13e…ca33backed Iowa Hawkeyes17c347.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.532030%6 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes34c333$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0214925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c326.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Purdue Boilermakers69c320.72$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4173549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Purdue Boilermakers73c311.86$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.272248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c308.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6448051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Purdue Boilermakers68c295.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8145351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Purdue Boilermakers80c275.12$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.275942.4%25 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Iowa Hawkeyes21c272$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9118147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed Iowa Hawkeyes8c269.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.911533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes36c247.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.178230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Iowa Hawkeyes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f29…9d73backed Iowa Hawkeyes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Iowa Hawkeyes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346524.6%16 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked Purdue Boilermakers55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes19c191.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.441,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Iowa Hawkeyes21c185.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.23,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Iowa Hawkeyes32c180$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9749747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes26c151.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.531,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Purdue Boilermakers78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.745953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…0063backed Iowa Hawkeyes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d9…e3e6backed Purdue Boilermakers72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Iowa Hawkeyes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207140.8%29 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Iowa Hawkeyes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes16c99.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1fc…47eebacked Purdue Boilermakers75c93.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x70fa…07f3backed Iowa Hawkeyes24c87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.922450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes24c81.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes16c79.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3920254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Iowa Hawkeyes36c75.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114f…4602backed Purdue Boilermakers72c70.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.723100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eeb…3a88backed Iowa Hawkeyes43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.11127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f7…fb66backed Iowa Hawkeyes17c66.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes18c66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Iowa Hawkeyes37c65.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.092,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f8…3970backed Iowa Hawkeyes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Purdue Boilermakers80c62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Purdue Boilermakers76c59.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.081,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa Hawkeyes24c58.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.061,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b9…5822backed Purdue Boilermakers60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed Iowa Hawkeyes18c57.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.312763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Purdue Boilermakers59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8536535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Purdue Boilermakers71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1c…002dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes22c49.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc306…3bb9backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c47.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…aeb0backed Purdue Boilermakers76c46.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.193948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Iowa Hawkeyes24c44.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.716931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe4…0722backed Purdue Boilermakers71c44.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Purdue Boilermakers76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8923544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Purdue Boilermakers78c30.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.844,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Purdue Boilermakers56c27.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1812045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Purdue Boilermakers49c25.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.091,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8616…639ebacked Purdue Boilermakers80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2e…53ccbacked Purdue Boilermakers80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Purdue Boilermakers71c24.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0318241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x602a…6b4cbacked Purdue Boilermakers78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Purdue Boilermakers76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.654153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.