Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e1006f8d700d3ea380fc8521b70dd63d2d7de3e56bec3908982866553c3c606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Hawkeyesof Purdue Boilermakers, Iowa Hawkeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Purdue Boilermakers | 56c | 3,435$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.24 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 44c | 2,317$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 44c | 1,712$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Boilermakers | 56c | 1,681$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.87 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 44c | 1,051$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Purdue Boilermakers | 55c | 544.56$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.74 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 44c | 271.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 76c | 255.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 24c | 249.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Purdue Boilermakers | 57c | 163.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 142.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Purdue Boilermakers | 45c | 109.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 41c | 104.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 101.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Purdue Boilermakers | 42c | 71.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Purdue Boilermakers | 44c | 59.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 56c | 54.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 45c | 42.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 43c | 39.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…122abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 35.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 44c | 34.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 44c | 34.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-9.5)this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 140.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 141.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 142.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.