Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcefd4f7ecb7f2c77cecdba3dd3f9517aba7ac26c2fc60653d048b056ebfce62a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 8,645$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 52c | 3,934$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.32 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 3,353$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.46 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 47c | 3,096$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.12 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 1,281$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.47 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 1,101$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.61 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 49c | 569.88$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.03 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 224$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 53c | 138$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Under | 51c | 33.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 53c | 23.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Over | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 143.5this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 140.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 141.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 142.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-9.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.