TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers51c45,829$23,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,461.251,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Lakers41c30,000$12,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,30040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs53c20,980$11,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,817.859,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers53c17,555$9,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,328.5687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Spurs48c15,542$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,041.7113842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs59c15,064$8,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,176.121,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Spurs50c13,386$6,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,693.0238253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs49c13,179$6,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,726.851,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Spurs48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.6716640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Spurs54c10,168$5,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,677.1445850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs52c10,036$5,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,802.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers54c9,264$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Lakers36c8,751$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.3629245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs52c5,171$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Spurs59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05010553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Spurs48c4,825$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.9942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Lakers54c4,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4304744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Spurs46c4,259$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.741,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Lakers52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Lakers43c3,993$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.999440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers53c3,720$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.521,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Lakers53c3,347$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.382,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs46c3,060$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs49c3,000$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5351,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Spurs48c2,757$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.6415450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers52c2,367$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.423,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Lakers37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Lakers52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers52c1,769$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs48c1,760$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.625,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Spurs63c1,705$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Spurs61c1,559$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.1712245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers40c1,214$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.076,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed Lakers2c1,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241850%9 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+202.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Spurs62c1,066$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.2336449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab9…54d4backed Lakers41c1,063$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Spurs49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5106357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers39c883.93$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.463,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c54…09c4backed Spurs57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs55c841.72$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.191,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers50c825$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Spurs64c754.05$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.467853.8%42 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Spurs55c693.88$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2623845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Lakers54c650.22$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.121,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs51c623.04$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Spurs66c600$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.549149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Spurs66c409.02$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5516347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Spurs61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15623251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Lakers40c387.5$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15513937.4%52 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs54c368.81$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.593,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Spurs57c350.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7340053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Spurs48c341.37$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Lakers54c328$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.123847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d7…e17cbacked Spurs64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8df3…0fb5backed Spurs61c310$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.98057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Spurs61c295.79$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3637850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Spurs49c281.29$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6966646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Spurs63c221.82$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8231954.5%174 W · 145 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Lakers37c186.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9221243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Spurs61c185.58$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6114046.4%65 W · 75 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Lakers55c181.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8c…b99bbacked Spurs61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c61…4fa6backed Spurs57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.447057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Spurs55c168.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0287750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Spurs46c167.37$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3817960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Spurs54c163.31$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5564844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Lakers45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.535444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Spurs59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.532346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Lakers38c132$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1618339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Lakers53c131.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Lakers53c128.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6823143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers29c126.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.223,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Spurs64c117.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1938050.8%193 W · 187 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Lakers51c110.82$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5213750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Spurs57c108.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Lakers55c107.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9638350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Spurs59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6950351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Spurs49c100.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2124330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed Lakers10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107536%27 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Spurs56c97.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.818253.7%44 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Spurs51c93.79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7950948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Lakers55c89.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9618644.1%82 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Lakers55c89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9541048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb15…f4f8backed Spurs61c83.61$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.618254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Spurs61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9712763%80 W · 47 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Spurs49c81.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7710226.5%27 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers32c75.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.313,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Spurs47c74.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3282440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Spurs50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3665950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Spurs55c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.731,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Lakers38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517845.5%81 W · 97 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a55…fe8bbacked Spurs58c60.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5816552.1%86 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Spurs74c54.97$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.334546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x025f…25cfbacked Spurs48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.042166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Lakers53c50.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.471,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Spurs48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Lakers40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Lakers31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.