NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b05a42923c619820635cc746642ee88f3ab052cc69413aa290a765b7c04524d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Spurs | 50c | 58,680$29,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,235.69 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 50c | 34,398$17,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,119.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 52c | 16,000$8,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,272 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Lakers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 50c | 9,557$4,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers | 52c | 9,069$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.79 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Lakers | 51c | 8,803$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.7 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Spurs | 48c | 7,083$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.33 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 48c | 5,216$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.22 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 50c | 5,123$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.9 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 49c | 4,151$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.04 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Lakers | 51c | 3,884$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Spurs | 50c | 3,700$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Spurs | 48c | 3,150$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs | 60c | 3,082$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.47 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Spurs | 51c | 2,800$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Spurs | 50c | 2,260$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 51c | 2,256$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Lakers | 11c | 2,200$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Spurs | 50c | 1,828$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.07 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.99 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 50c | 1,666$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,594$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.37 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,516$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.46 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Lakers | 53c | 1,322$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Spurs | 50c | 1,253$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.75 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Lakers | 2c | 1,148$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Lakers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Lakers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Spurs | 49c | 989.88$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.84 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 49c | 834$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.66 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Spurs | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked Lakers | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Spurs | 50c | 757$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Spurs | 50c | 592$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Lakers | 40c | 501.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…276fbacked Lakers | 52c | 484.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Lakers | 49c | 448.12$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.28 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Spurs | 48c | 410$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Lakers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Spurs | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Spurs | 49c | 370.9$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lakers | 52c | 364.58$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.58 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 30c | 351.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…c6adbacked Lakers | 40c | 342.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Lakers | 52c | 289.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Lakers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Lakers | 53c | 284.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Lakers | 51c | 260.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…51d6backed Spurs | 56c | 250.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Lakers | 50c | 227.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs | 52c | 217.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Lakers | 51c | 207.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Spurs | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Spurs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Spurs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…c195backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Lakers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed Spurs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.49per pick | 41cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Spurs | 51c | 189.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Spurs | 51c | 188.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed Spurs | 51c | 164.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Spurs | 50c | 156.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Lakers | 51c | 147.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Spurs | 50c | 139.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Spurs | 51c | 139.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Spurs | 69c | 135.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Spurs | 48c | 105.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Lakers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Spurs | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Lakers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Spurs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Spurs | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Spurs | 66c | 87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Lakers | 52c | 86.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Spurs | 52c | 71.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Spurs | 49c | 70.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Lakers | 51c | 68.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 79c | 56.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Lakers | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Lakers | 39c | 51.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Lakers | 50c | 51.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Lakers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…b580backed Spurs | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…65a5backed Lakers | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Lakers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Spurs | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Spurs | 50c | 33.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Spurs | 51c | 26.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Spurs | 64c | 21.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Harrison Barnes: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jake LaRavia: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.