TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,967 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44d4…1970backed Over52c177,619$91,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,046.0816752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c108,181$52,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,702.072,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12c…f2d4backed Over50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Under49c28,803$14,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,135.9810949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Under48c22,614$10,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,939.244257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c20,376$9,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,580.375,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c20,000$9,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8752,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c9,854$4,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,745.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c9,000$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,59066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c8,535$4,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,267.570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c8,510$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,260.41,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c7,808$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,893.792,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under51c5,166$2,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.0587750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under50c4,020$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01040350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over51c3,515$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.211,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over50c3,329$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.4538253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c3,102$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.639,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Under50c2,936$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46815450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c2,787$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.713,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over54c2,150$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98922055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c2,085$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.6250754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under51c1,799$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.6630446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under48c1,546$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c1,500$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8201,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Over53c1,155$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.826040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3022…3794backed Under50c840$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Over53c785.63$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.283946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30025347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c562$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c548.25$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c542.91$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.922,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c505.49$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4933150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c466.95$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.114,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd612…1550backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under50c378.1$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0517960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c350.73$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Over52c333.08$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8120149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over52c305.09$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2621357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over53c300$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over40c297.04$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.633,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under47c282$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Over51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.295147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x050f…0f26backed Under50c209.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.363447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over53c189.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7712541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over51c177.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7233653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over50c169.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9916347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under14c160.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.041,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under67c149.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over50c117.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.551,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Under51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under52c108.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8792750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under49c108.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under49c108$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6153945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under57c100.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5762450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4742551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under49c98.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over52c83.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2415649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c82.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8864844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under49c73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1371245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under49c71.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1262844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x281a…7c48backed Over52c69.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.032035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over48c69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9320149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21cc…2939backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed Over52c56.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.722951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under49c55.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5420448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under50c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under50c48.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3618250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over49c45.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2920949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c43.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.95,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under49c42.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7517155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a1…7066backed Under49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8219848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Over50c40.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.057346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010156.4%57 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.659141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c39.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under50c39.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over55c37.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6618957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8f8…79a8backed Under49c31.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.511952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked Under51c29.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over57c28.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.352,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over52c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5835049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Under50c28.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.072161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over52c26.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7232952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25d6…04cbbacked Under50c23.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.553333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8394…20a3backed Under49c21.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.560%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.