NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaccfbe25b45a5d80108f42076aecd9a6d1b4f42ed753e623814b15259a831c9

Rebuilt 50 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,556 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee17…b46ebacked Under	51c	19,563$9,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,942.15	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	13,746$6,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,010.49	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Over	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,300	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over	49c	5,102$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,602.04	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	53c	4,409$2,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,334.04	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	53c	3,853$2,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040.77	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Under	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	48c	754.64$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.3	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	55c	712.87$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.83	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	46c	400$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under	55c	354.55$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	49c	340.91$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.15	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	48c	236.2$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.82	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	53c	188.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	47c	186.3$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.23	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under	53c	134.37$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.22	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	52c	105.77$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	46c	104.51$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.44	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2480…1df9backed Over	47c	97.91$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.89	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.34per pick	41cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4526…783ebacked Over	46c	79.99$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.9	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Over	48c	62.52$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.76	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+5.2wins	+0.23per pick	42cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under	52c	54$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	712	45.8%326 W · 386 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under	52c	49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.48	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	31c	48.24$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.08	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Under	73c	39.73$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	267	57.3%153 W · 114 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	49c	37.74$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.37	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under	54c	27.77$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under	56c	26.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under	54c	26.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under	53c	26.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.02	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf1…0b3dbacked Under	51c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked Under	53c	23.1$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over	50c	20.74$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.37	243	30.5%74 W · 169 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event