TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nets (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Nets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Pacers52c70,485$36,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,832.9872648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers49c22,877$11,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,604.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Nets48c21,172$10,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20349246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3022…3794backed Nets48c20,835$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nets53c14,513$7,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,637.171,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Nets48c8,219$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.8917550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Nets48c7,708$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7009051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pacers35c7,599$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,946.2783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets70c7,144$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.883,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nets54c6,948$3,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.052,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets47c6,057$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Nets47c5,494$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.1815450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7084…0ae5backed Nets48c5,457$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.421546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Nets48c5,245$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.8542648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers47c5,069$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.571,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nets55c5,000$2,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,74046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers46c4,202$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers51c4,103$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.242,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Pacers53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.0150653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers53c3,999$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.4589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers47c3,920$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.062,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Nets48c3,890$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.6837747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e7…b945backed Nets48c2,819$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3531070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Nets48c2,544$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22110048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Nets48c2,394$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Nets48c2,193$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.4736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Nets56c2,126$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.2466646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6756…39f0backed Nets48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Pacers46c1,909$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.6219147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers51c1,863$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.993,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets49c1,780$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Pacers55c1,727$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.0641553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pacers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Pacers46c1,500$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8051,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x867c…4e27backed Nets49c1,500$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.0160%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Nets48c1,355$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.232150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets41c1,219$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Nets48c1,173$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56317953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers45c1,143$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.6877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Pacers52c872$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.6523845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Pacers45c833.58$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7115141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Nets48c750.28$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.823548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Pacers54c660$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.68252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Pacers45c573$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2228842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Nets53c527.61$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers45c524.62$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.573,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers54c493.38$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.883,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nets50c410.25$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.982,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Nets48c358$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Pacers45c338.94$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4221446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Nets34c335.61$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2524846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Nets48c328.5$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0515649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f4…a532backed Nets56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers46c291.16$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Nets46c224.47$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3251146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Nets49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x050f…0f26backed Pacers51c204.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pacers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nets52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Nets48c190$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.225951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Nets54c189.95$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5778652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Pacers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1981845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96cb…df2ebacked Pacers54c184.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Pacers56c181.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Nets55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e95…4183backed Nets55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pacers52c162.13$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Pacers48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8321743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers29c129.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.683,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Nets53c127.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Pacers45c114.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pacers62c111$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.581,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Nets20c108.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.753641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Nets45c106.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6653839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets43c100.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.41,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Nets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pacers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Pacers47c92.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1948451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Nets46c87.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nets46c74.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.341,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Pacers47c72.53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.441369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Pacers55c67.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3821357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Pacers55c66.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed Pacers52c65.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nets46c63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.981,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Pacers49c62.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8562844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pacers55c61.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8250648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Pacers32c60.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.36653%35 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed Nets49c59.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911553%61 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Pacers47c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1514751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Pacers65c54.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0718957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Pacers47c53.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4832952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Pacers45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick44cpaid+88.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Pacers47c49.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3330743%132 W · 175 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pacers53c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.281,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Pacers52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0819940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pacers30c45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Pacers46c42.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6633653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nets48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Nets77c41.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3218055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.