TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nets (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Nets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets50c61,009$30,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,204.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Nets49c55,380$27,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,348.1747848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers50c51,757$25,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,789.452,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers50c50,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,00043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers50c40,000$20,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Nets50c30,730$15,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,344.5444352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,70051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers51c19,373$9,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,429.2145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Nets49c18,836$9,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,315.1259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets50c15,136$7,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,616.642,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers51c15,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Pacers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00025753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets50c9,953$4,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,976.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Nets50c9,504$4,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75233447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Nets49c7,855$3,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,848.8817554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Nets49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets48c5,948$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pacers51c5,357$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.171,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets49c5,351$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Pacers51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Pacers50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers51c3,893$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.121,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pacers50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Nets50c2,862$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4319952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers50c2,648$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.23,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets49c2,468$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers49c1,621$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.673,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Pacers50c1,554$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77720355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nets50c1,534$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76738946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Nets57c1,502$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.61,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Nets49c1,401$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.2936351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7800…eae9backed Nets49c1,349$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Pacers50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nets48c1,167$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Pacers52c1,044$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4229149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets48c1,043$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.555,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pacers40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers51c999.44$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.7395641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39267252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Nets48c793.87$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.061,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Pacers48c510$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.223644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Nets50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets47c301.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.273,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Pacers51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1215154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Pacers51c248.9$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9623845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nets50c229$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.251,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Nets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Pacers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Nets49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9863447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Pacers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0814557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Nets50c166.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6266646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Pacers32c136.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.284637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Nets50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6552240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Pacers51c126.7$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.74755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Pacers52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.817747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed Nets10c117.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.991850%9 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+202.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers38c117$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.843,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Pacers51c116$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.620448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Pacers69c101.41$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4161957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Nets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Nets49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pacers51c98.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pacers51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0451651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Pacers52c86.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Nets50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nets76c78.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Pacers51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.438558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd70…3ebbbacked Pacers51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Pacers56c71.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0523644.1%104 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Pacers51c69.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3933653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f1…68d4backed Pacers51c67.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Nets48c62.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1364844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets29c61.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.813,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pacers71c56.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Pacers38c51.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Nets63c50.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.871,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…3ef9backed Pacers34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Pacers50c49.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.655846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Nets50c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.261,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Pacers51c47.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0662450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Nets60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Pacers51c41.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1762844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee26…3798backed Nets50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Nets50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Pacers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.227859%46 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Pacers50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9153945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb0…e845backed Pacers41c37.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.248451.2%43 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pacers52c36.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Nets49c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6835049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers47c31.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.533,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e7…6c2fbacked Pacers36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed Pacers51c29.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3710551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Nets48c25.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Nets49c24.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230743%132 W · 175 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc35…91ddbacked Nets50c22.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d3…f859backed Nets50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Nets50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed Pacers61c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.635750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.