NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0330cdf2be70980363fc416affd63f9a739b9b9438184cd91fcf91612d00b5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 5,792$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.02 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 55c | 4,107$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.97 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 3,348$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.84 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 57c | 1,581$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.86 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 1,554$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 1,515$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 846.38$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 44c | 840$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 764$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.44 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 651$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 232.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 53c | 217.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 43c | 176$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Over | 53c | 151.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 22c | 151$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Under | 38c | 105.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…1550backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 44c | 82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 68.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 48c | 60.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 45c | 59.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 42c | 57.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 24c | 54.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 66c | 52.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 38c | 46.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 30c | 41.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 45c | 34.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Under | 46c | 31.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 48c | 26.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 26.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 64c | 25.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 53c | 25.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 23.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5this page
- Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. NetsPacers won
- Pacers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spread: Nets (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Nets (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Nets (-5.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Nets (-6.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.