UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dcd40fb55759fd535918458a19a1935a4a5902ddf5bcae0d3fc0cc650e9b98f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oleksiejczukof Oleksiejczuk, Barriault
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $389,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Barriault | 19c | 53,111$10,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,090.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Barriault | 20c | 50,048$9,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,909.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Oleksiejczuk | 78c | 32,020$25,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,946.44 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Oleksiejczuk | 80c | 31,220$24,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,246 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Barriault | 18c | 20,341$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,755.97 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Barriault | 18c | 20,190$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.53 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…c096backed Barriault | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Oleksiejczuk | 80c | 10,375$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Barriault | 20c | 9,800$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Barriault | 31c | 9,234$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.61 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Barriault | 19c | 8,400$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.94 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Oleksiejczuk | 68c | 7,114$4,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.33 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Barriault | 19c | 6,841$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.74 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Barriault | 17c | 6,702$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.28 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Oleksiejczuk | 70c | 5,297$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.53 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Barriault | 6c | 5,228$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.85 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Oleksiejczuk | 78c | 5,001$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.02 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Barriault | 19c | 4,666$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Barriault | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Barriault | 33c | 3,865$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.7 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Barriault | 23c | 3,774$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.84 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Barriault | 19c | 3,050$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.49 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Barriault | 10c | 2,870$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.81 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Oleksiejczuk | 80c | 2,754$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Barriault | 37c | 2,752$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.85 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Barriault | 29c | 2,458$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.06 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Barriault | 34c | 2,206$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Barriault | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Barriault | 30c | 1,617$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.26 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Barriault | 27c | 1,525$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.43 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Barriault | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd2…29a2backed Barriault | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Barriault | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Barriault | 23c | 1,459$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.26 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Barriault | 21c | 1,370$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Oleksiejczuk | 80c | 1,272$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Barriault | 20c | 1,255$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Barriault | 19c | 1,249$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.72 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Barriault | 35c | 1,155$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Barriault | 18c | 1,089$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Barriault | 14c | 1,007$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Barriault | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Oleksiejczuk | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…1783backed Barriault | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…2497backed Barriault | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Barriault | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Barriault | 19c | 850$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Barriault | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Barriault | 18c | 622.78$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Barriault | 18c | 613.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Oleksiejczuk | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Barriault | 5c | 599.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Barriault | 33c | 597.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Barriault | 18c | 571.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Oleksiejczuk | 70c | 553.45$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.45 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Barriault | 33c | 508.86$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Barriault | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Barriault | 32c | 480.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Barriault | 26c | 456.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Oleksiejczuk | 80c | 439.81$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed Barriault | 16c | 433.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Oleksiejczuk | 80c | 400.91$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Barriault | 24c | 400$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Barriault | 31c | 399.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked Oleksiejczuk | 77c | 389.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Barriault | 18c | 387.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Barriault | 18c | 333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…c019backed Barriault | 9c | 317.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Barriault | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…af7cbacked Barriault | 19c | 269.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Oleksiejczuk | 73c | 269.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Barriault | 19c | 264.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Barriault | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed Barriault | 17c | 235.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Barriault | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Oleksiejczuk | 70c | 214.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Barriault | 20c | 207$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…d8d6backed Oleksiejczuk | 69c | 206.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…36b4backed Barriault | 22c | 202.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…0519backed Barriault | 25c | 200.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Barriault | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Barriault | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Barriault | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…aa51backed Oleksiejczuk | 76c | 196.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Barriault | 23c | 193.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Oleksiejczuk | 78c | 183.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Barriault | 20c | 182$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…32d3backed Barriault | 36c | 180.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed Barriault | 18c | 179.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Barriault | 21c | 168.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Barriault | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Barriault | 20c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Barriault | 24c | 144.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…f25ebacked Barriault | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed Barriault | 21c | 140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df1…45adbacked Oleksiejczuk | 74c | 135.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Oleksiejczuk | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…e022backed Oleksiejczuk | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Barriault | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Barriault | 18c | 124.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Marc-Andre Barriault win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Michal Oleksiejczuk win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.