Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f95ec5c605414a40a0845dbde3c67711e7fcd853f7e62c77cedb4a8f26fc030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 55c | 28,804$15,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,969.69 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 10,207$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.98 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 7,780$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 2,576$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,786$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.47 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 45c | 1,022$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.75 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 1,015$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 648.25$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 56c | 629.09$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.07 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 44c | 499.83$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 56c | 461.64$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.26 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 345.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 55c | 345.27$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 56c | 288.62$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 223.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 45c | 191.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 179.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 56c | 171$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 46c | 156.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 40c | 149.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 55c | 144.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked No | 56c | 102.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 56c | 101.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 41c | 96.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed No | 55c | 84.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 45c | 68.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed No | 55c | 68.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 39c | 60.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 45c | 59.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Yes | 45c | 46.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 43.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed No | 55c | 43.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 45c | 37.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…e301backed Yes | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Yes | 39c | 30.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 55c | 30.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed No | 56c | 29.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…db9ebacked No | 56c | 28.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed No | 55c | 28.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked No | 58c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed No | 55c | 27.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 56c | 26.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…15b7backed No | 56c | 25.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…0acbbacked Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed No | 56c | 24.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4f3abacked No | 55c | 22.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…8897backed No | 56c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…ffb3backed No | 62c | 20.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…7395backed No | 55c | 19.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…4045backed No | 56c | 19.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
- Will Watford FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.