Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6775570f3fa38c850cf9e6f5546fa2c7e80aab5419fdf37df2816c39a6efb969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.95 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 801.47$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 588$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.85 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 560.37$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.37 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 44c | 523.57$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.79 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 74c | 384.6$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.61 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 34c | 228.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 188.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 26c | 157.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 77c | 153.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…8897backed Yes | 27c | 40.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 73c | 33.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 73c | 26.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 73c | 24.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 21.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 73c | 21.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 76c | 19.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 75c | 15.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…a519backed No | 73c | 14.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Watford FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.