TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e7d…7395

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.89
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao (BO5) - Zhi-Tech Elite Masters Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.36
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42%+$92.4
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?backed Silver · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.53
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$106.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.