Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x824990646fb07093dccc0a0ed2b78a1fe43b5a5e33e4c020071b9a8224fb12dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $447,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa446…754ebacked Yes | 2c | 30,733$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.1 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 17c | 25,983$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.66 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 1c | 23,149$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes | 17c | 9,108$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 8,215$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.19 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…ba88backed Yes | 16c | 7,568$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 5,106$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.83 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 64c | 4,741$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.51 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…af87backed Yes | 1c | 4,699$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 40c | 4,530$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.46 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 12c | 4,508$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.96 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94d…c69abacked Yes | 20c | 4,320$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 4c | 4,128$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343b…fda0backed Yes | 5c | 3,985$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 62c | 3,802$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.02 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 7c | 3,558$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,454$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe51…12d0backed Yes | 7c | 3,200$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 2,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…066fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,799$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.03 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…c4b7backed Yes | 2c | 2,504$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 41c | 2,397$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.79 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4578…7614backed Yes | 13c | 2,372$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…35eabacked Yes | 2c | 2,355$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 54c | 2,315$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.64 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…816ebacked Yes | 34c | 2,165$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.29 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…3a99backed Yes | 1c | 2,131$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…426bbacked No | 36c | 2,049$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 1,884$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Yes | 11c | 1,824$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 4c | 1,805$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…769fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,774$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +232.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 31c | 1,763$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.66 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 22c | 1,740$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.2 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87be…5f2bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,692$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b3a6backed Yes | 12c | 1,623$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…564cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,600$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked No | 51c | 1,509$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.42 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…be74backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…67f5backed Yes | 16c | 1,406$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…b3c9backed No | 72c | 1,340$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 77c | 1,292$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.78 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 70c | 1,263$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.65 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…016bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 45c | 1,149$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 55c | 1,067$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.88 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 78c | 1,062$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0053…bf1dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,050$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +246.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…cabebacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…9fdabacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…683ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ad…77cdbacked Yes | 6c | 997$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…c1aebacked Yes | 33c | 904.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 900$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…9327backed Yes | 11c | 890.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…8108backed Yes | 23c | 877.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 17c | 850$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 79c | 835.37$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.94 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 817.59$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.84 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…32b5backed Yes | 1c | 809.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…a1cdbacked No | 78c | 800.01$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed Yes | 18c | 773.84$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…a2ddbacked Yes | 26c | 766.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes | 2c | 750.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…ee07backed Yes | 12c | 730.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Yes | 62c | 715.2$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.42 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…446abacked Yes | 7c | 690.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…37aabacked Yes | 44c | 678.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…64b6backed No | 35c | 665.07$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…6088backed No | 64c | 652.08$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…7061backed No | 18c | 645$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +253.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 11c | 642.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…a203backed Yes | 2c | 609.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked No | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Yes | 18c | 600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…6186backed Yes | 12c | 592.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f8…15dabacked Yes | 19c | 577.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…23fcbacked Yes | 7c | 548$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fd…bb05backed Yes | 9c | 546.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 40c | 532.73$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.98 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…ebefbacked Yes | 19c | 530$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…a122backed No | 76c | 526.04$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 525.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 26c | 524.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 5c | 523.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…db7cbacked Yes | 11c | 520$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbf…3faebacked Yes | 21c | 500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…4b26backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…c887backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0db…b117backed No | 75c | 490$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 31c | 482.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.14 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…da32backed No | 77c | 476.11$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…4b95backed No | 35c | 464.26$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed Yes | 57c | 460.23$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…b65dbacked Yes | 4c | 459.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed No | 72c | 455$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 55cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 35c | 430$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes | 5c | 411.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.