Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db4053c6dc98e9796f0387e8e58c8cc72c6560c0ed60b388fea26ba402c4736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3131…b77bbacked No | 3c | 32,100$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…69c1backed No | 0c | 19,820$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked No | 1c | 15,610$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 9,167$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 7,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 7,115$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…8c53backed No | 1c | 6,657$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cd…47e5backed No | 1c | 4,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…be74backed No | 2c | 4,498$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b0…3fe4backed No | 1c | 4,292$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 2c | 4,237$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…22dcbacked No | 2c | 4,122$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…9a61backed No | 3c | 4,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…2190backed No | 4c | 3,584$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…0f89backed No | 3c | 3,578$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d82…c7e9backed No | 77c | 2,895$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…b3c9backed No | 4c | 2,547$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed No | 2c | 2,247$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +267.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 2,055$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92f…24dabacked No | 1c | 2,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…4683backed No | 2c | 1,928$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…dd4bbacked No | 2c | 1,870$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…7c5cbacked No | 2c | 1,825$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 35c | 1,729$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.14 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…4690backed No | 3c | 1,465$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 23c | 1,410$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0f…da52backed No | 2c | 1,301$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 66c | 1,300$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed No | 4c | 1,171$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…a2cebacked No | 1c | 1,031$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 4c | 1,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 32c | 896.26$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.01 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed Yes | 18c | 832.34$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.17 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 22c | 744.31$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 30c | 681.53$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.07 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 634.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 77c | 632$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.19 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…8e9abacked No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 600$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 69c | 568.14$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.29 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…f0fdbacked No | 3c | 502.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…27e0backed No | 3c | 429.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…3115backed Yes | 25c | 425$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 75c | 424.25$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.3 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54d4…2559backed No | 66c | 420.47$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…15a6backed No | 62c | 417.69$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 37c | 412$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.94 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 79c | 412$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 79c | 404$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.16 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed Yes | 36c | 360$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 21c | 354$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…c3a8backed Yes | 21c | 348.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +142%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes | 73c | 343.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…649dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f30…9897backed No | 62c | 283.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 32c | 228.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…8c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 76c | 170$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b6…3740backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 29c | 105.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…29ddbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…3fb1backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 11c | 93.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked No | 64c | 92.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 62c | 66.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 31c | 64.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…9bc9backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d42…c0f4backed Yes | 21c | 54.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 65c | 53.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…a1cdbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +167%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 68c | 49.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 40.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…f9c7backed No | 62c | 27.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed No | 71c | 24.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…c399backed Yes | 67c | 21.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…0c71backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5ababacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.