Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe02e14adbb8874e734cdc0c7adcc75f8510b7a516afd30587b2ea107efc169fd

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,050,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $782,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,050,046 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Commodities
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0c79…1d00backed Yes	2c	116,153$2,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,494.18	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27af…2127backed Yes	1c	111,800$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dba…0c23backed Yes	1c	107,800$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfabf…55f1backed Yes	1c	86,700$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	13cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3746…f6aabacked Yes	1c	80,300$883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe38b…8996backed Yes	1c	73,200$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.2	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e0…b541backed Yes	1c	31,122$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.22	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9793…789cbacked Yes	3c	27,670$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes	6c	7,764$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+113.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes	3c	7,043$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.46	302	38.1%115 W · 187 L	+11.1wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	6,180$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.83	232	4.3%10 W · 222 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x253b…0ae7backed Yes	4c	4,451$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.15	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+243.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes	2c	4,450$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.99	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	19cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	2c	4,265$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.87	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5543…8d64backed Yes	2c	4,200$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.59	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	11cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed2e…41f7backed Yes	1c	4,000$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.52	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,273$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.97	1,030	9.2%95 W · 935 L	-25.0wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0814…b977backed Yes	5c	2,786$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.23	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb29…fb86backed Yes	4c	2,495$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.67	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	2,196$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	222	1.4%3 W · 219 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0524…261ebacked Yes	3c	1,806$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd54c…391dbacked Yes	3c	1,736$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d3…613cbacked Yes	4c	1,660$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes	1c	1,378$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.83	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	3c	1,216$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.54	66	4.5%3 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7e…35b7backed Yes	2c	1,141$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224c…ee07backed Yes	5c	1,087$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6e…670abacked Yes	5c	1,066$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.18	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.32per pick	34cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f33…a23abacked Yes	5c	1,022$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…7b31backed Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	4cpaid	+566.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	4c	856.35$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	264	13.3%35 W · 229 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842b…b366backed Yes	2c	845$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	79	30.4%24 W · 55 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56b…d2e4backed Yes	6c	811.42$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.26	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	6c	792.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.67	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4056…bcf2backed Yes	6c	773.61$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0048…d4a5backed Yes	3c	752.74$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	717.36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.18	93	12.9%12 W · 81 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13b6…c633backed Yes	2c	553.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	75	2.7%2 W · 73 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	2c	549.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	95	6.3%6 W · 89 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes	5c	491.12$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.21	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc6…4690backed Yes	8c	490.52$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.52	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…182bbacked Yes	3c	450$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes	3c	440.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	320	23.4%75 W · 245 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84a0…63a4backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bd…6184backed Yes	5c	399.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7de7…ef81backed Yes	3c	390$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes	4c	380.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	8cpaid	+86.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Yes	3c	356.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c03…2b9abacked Yes	4c	344.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb803…b265backed Yes	5c	306.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x766d…e2b0backed Yes	5c	250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8857…756ebacked Yes	5c	241.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73c…ba9abacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a5f…a8a0backed Yes	7c	156.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?this page
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event