Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e9ecd689efe53908ecaa2a104bbf9a5c2b1e1894bc49703fce456fd7e48b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $355,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked No | 64c | 16,297$10,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,793.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 2c | 12,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343b…fda0backed Yes | 21c | 9,910$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 36c | 8,666$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.07 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 8,428$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 1c | 6,150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes | 15c | 6,080$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 69c | 5,950$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 4,845$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 5c | 4,136$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes | 44c | 3,966$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 70c | 3,871$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.4 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 2c | 3,834$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…f265backed Yes | 12c | 3,682$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 62c | 3,667$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.43 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 12c | 3,598$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 45c | 3,524$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.8 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94d…c69abacked Yes | 34c | 3,271$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 62c | 3,224$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 59c | 3,013$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.78 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 15c | 2,983$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.18 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed Yes | 12c | 2,423$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6e…501fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,248$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…816ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,995$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.81 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 46c | 1,941$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.15 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 60c | 1,896$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.44 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…0c73backed Yes | 43c | 1,858$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +236%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed No | 60c | 1,700$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 55cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,614$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.37 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f71…9c46backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 1,601$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 18c | 1,440$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.56 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked No | 61c | 1,319$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.87 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 10c | 1,249$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…35eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,226$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…b977backed Yes | 10c | 1,201$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4578…7614backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,101$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,082$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0053…bf1dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +246.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a3…285dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…564cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…6ea2backed Yes | 49c | 898$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 842.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 5c | 781.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 38c | 760$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.8 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 16c | 700$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 63c | 677.82$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.93 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 51c | 637.3$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.65 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…e411backed Yes | 11c | 630.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 54c | 623.59$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.39 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed Yes | 17c | 604.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 64c | 594.4$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.18 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes | 10c | 590.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 19c | 576.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 2c | 518$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 48c | 505.88$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…ca06backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a02…6d9ebacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 5c | 493.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…9469backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 473.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked Yes | 14c | 466.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed Yes | 34c | 455.88$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…4172backed Yes | 16c | 415.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf1…7e8ebacked Yes | 48c | 413.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 37c | 404.92$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbf…3faebacked Yes | 15c | 400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…187bbacked Yes | 35c | 399.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…3e8ebacked Yes | 36c | 386.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…da32backed No | 59c | 383.76$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 382.82$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 360.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…c455backed No | 60c | 349.31$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 71c | 344.96$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24b…f263backed Yes | 8c | 340.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…4b26backed Yes | 8c | 335.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…64b6backed No | 43c | 321.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…e5ccbacked Yes | 5c | 305.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…066fbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 71c | 295.68$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…ab62backed Yes | 15c | 285.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 273$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…ac87backed Yes | 39c | 266$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…8f12backed Yes | 8c | 257.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 253.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 27c | 250$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…955abacked Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 67c | 250$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33b8…411fbacked Yes | 20c | 249$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 37c | 248.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…c399backed Yes | 13c | 247.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 12c | 241.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…dc9fbacked Yes | 29c | 236.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.