Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc52e2f8e812e6e3542683f1068e17b423af8a9f9103f1f4119c7f346aa3b7399

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,005,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,467,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,005,053 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Commodities
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90d1…f62abacked Yes	0c	181,888$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.25	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56b…d2e4backed Yes	0c	33,333$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Yes	1c	29,000$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406	20	5%1 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-75%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95bc…1c21backed Yes	0c	26,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ddb…08eebacked Yes	0c	11,333$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…3dd6backed Yes	0c	11,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba16…dcdbbacked Yes	0c	10,333$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eca…5f23backed Yes	0c	9,839$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedd5…7ad7backed Yes	0c	9,250$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9d…73b3backed Yes	0c	8,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63cf…f86ebacked Yes	0c	8,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25bd…a49fbacked Yes	0c	7,667$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	0c	6,937$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	1,032	9.3%96 W · 936 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c4f…81ccbacked Yes	2c	5,672$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x530e…cc11backed Yes	11c	5,351$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd18…b4d5backed Yes	2c	5,259$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	2c	4,586$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.95	116	15.5%18 W · 98 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	4,461$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.55	232	4.3%10 W · 222 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4566…f265backed Yes	6c	4,082$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a56…3e36backed Yes	8c	3,527$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.52	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	5c	3,316$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.93	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes	2c	3,090$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.75	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27a3…285dbacked Yes	2c	3,000$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes	7c	2,915$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.73	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb84…5685backed Yes	5c	2,888$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd16a…22c5backed Yes	2c	2,350$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	7cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda6…14fabacked Yes	12c	2,199$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.15	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0814…b977backed Yes	4c	2,062$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.48	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x224c…ee07backed Yes	1c	1,727$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b6…c633backed Yes	1c	1,445$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	75	2.7%2 W · 73 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	7c	1,405$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.37	353	34%120 W · 233 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes	1c	1,233$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea43…2825backed Yes	2c	1,226$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…35eabacked Yes	2c	1,204$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.94	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	2c	1,104$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.41	56	17.9%10 W · 46 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec7…12f7backed Yes	5c	1,039$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2df…e80bbacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e60…a2ddbacked Yes	11c	918.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…9a81backed Yes	2c	800$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07c9…4fa3backed Yes	2c	749.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed Yes	12c	677.7$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.12	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+7.6wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8144…564cbacked Yes	2c	600$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.66	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf82a…d221backed Yes	3c	586.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes	6c	577.13$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.7	210	15.7%33 W · 177 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…dff2backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.55	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	15cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes	16c	499.99$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	15cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd6c…a568backed Yes	6c	489.6$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.38	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x807e…5405backed Yes	15c	400.95$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x428b…8f12backed Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	4c	364$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	93	12.9%12 W · 81 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x625f…e2c0backed Yes	14c	360$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	59	15.3%9 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de7…ef81backed Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Yes	15c	267.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a2…c1b9backed Yes	15c	260.39$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	255.75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.91	307	18.6%57 W · 250 L	-17.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-34%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c57…d17fbacked Yes	12c	200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd653…782bbacked Yes	11c	174.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021d…da42backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd185…e40bbacked Yes	15c	136.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef65…a496backed Yes	13c	110$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x809b…4bb8backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?this page
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event