Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8667533742ff716255bdbb77bb74f4b8bc42c10eaa237c00eaef34ebee403d5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 61c | 73,770$45,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,119.92 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 39c | 23,067$8,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,070.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 20,838$8,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,743.03 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 18,068$7,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,690.35 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 39c | 16,152$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,852.98 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 61c | 14,584$8,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,902.57 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 39c | 12,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,625 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Yes | 39c | 6,995$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 62c | 5,500$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 5,443$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.47 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Yes | 39c | 4,615$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 3,265$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.47 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 38c | 3,157$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.34 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.83 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 60c | 2,495$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 61c | 1,968$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.68 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 38c | 1,168$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.16 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 1,165$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.65 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Yes | 38c | 900$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 886.58$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.68 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 796.55$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.86 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 62c | 712.35$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 41c | 692.68$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.68 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 73c | 675$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.21 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 39c | 651.28$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.28 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 607.95$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 550.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 39c | 530.77$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.77 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 72c | 486.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 474$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.31 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 61c | 437.22$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed No | 62c | 313.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…379ebacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 61c | 299.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.43 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Yes | 39c | 256.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 39c | 256$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked No | 62c | 226.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 215.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 39c | 210$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…127cbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed No | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed No | 62c | 173.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…cf9cbacked Yes | 38c | 172.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed No | 63c | 166.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed No | 62c | 159.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed No | 62c | 145.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 43c | 142.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 31c | 140.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…6c15backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 64c | 124.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 107.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…592cbacked No | 62c | 102.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 61c | 98.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 38c | 96.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 61c | 95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed Yes | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Yes | 38c | 92.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 62c | 88.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 67c | 86.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed No | 61c | 85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked No | 62c | 83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…bf5dbacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…5c46backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed No | 61c | 78.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed No | 61c | 78.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…413dbacked No | 62c | 76.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 39c | 74.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 64c | 69.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed No | 62c | 69.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed No | 62c | 68.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc4…c0adbacked No | 62c | 67.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 39c | 67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.