NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x527c6d07a8000cbe05e91df91a3f9626d87d05ce112d9eccfb409eb48df17b5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $528,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Nets | 51c | 282,163$143,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,065.13 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,499.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hawks | 50c | 40,962$20,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,278.39 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 50c | 31,979$15,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,989.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Nets | 50c | 29,272$14,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,636.09 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nets | 49c | 28,314$13,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,873.83 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 49c | 26,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Hawks | 50c | 21,099$10,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,549.28 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Hawks | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.97 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 50c | 18,256$9,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,151.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks | 50c | 17,302$8,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,723.73 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Hawks | 51c | 13,425$6,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,578.49 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks | 51c | 13,323$6,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,528.27 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.89 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Hawks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks | 50c | 8,610$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.16 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nets | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 50c | 6,027$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Hawks | 50c | 5,780$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.17 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Hawks | 50c | 5,419$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.5 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 52c | 5,360$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.52 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 71c | 4,148$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hawks | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hawks | 50c | 4,000$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.19 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Hawks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 50c | 3,952$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.51 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Nets | 76c | 3,495$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Hawks | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Hawks | 50c | 2,878$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.85 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Hawks | 50c | 2,837$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nets | 50c | 2,540$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nets | 48c | 2,398$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.91 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Hawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Hawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Hawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Hawks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Nets | 50c | 1,796$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hawks | 50c | 1,456$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 48c | 1,302$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks | 50c | 1,276$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.75 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 49c | 1,273$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Nets | 51c | 1,112$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.23 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Hawks | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.14 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 49c | 1,006$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Nets | 49c | 1,001$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Hawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 51c | 716.95$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Hawks | 53c | 570$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Hawks | 53c | 550.64$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Hawks | 59c | 532.9$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.49 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Hawks | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Nets | 47c | 472.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nets | 46c | 452.58$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Nets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 48c | 294.91$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Hawks | 59c | 280.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks | 36c | 227.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Hawks | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Hawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Nets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Hawks | 54c | 185.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Hawks | 51c | 166$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 48c | 163.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Hawks | 51c | 159.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Hawks | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Hawks | 50c | 135.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Nets | 56c | 135.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Hawks | 52c | 134.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Hawks | 46c | 130.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Hawks | 50c | 110.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Hawks | 51c | 105.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hawks | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Nets | 48c | 103.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Hawks | 45c | 101.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Hawks | 18c | 101.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Nets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Nets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Hawks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Hawks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…2605backed Nets | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2641…062fbacked Hawks | 43c | 87.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Nets | 50c | 78.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…7246backed Hawks | 49c | 63.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hawks | 44c | 60.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Hawks | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Hawks | 59c | 57.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Hawks | 49c | 57.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Hawks | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Nets | 53c | 51.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…e845backed Nets | 51c | 50.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731f…6d78backed Hawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hawks | 47c | 49.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Nets won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Egor Demin: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nets vs. HawksHawks won
- Nets vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Nets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.