TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks54c50,737$27,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,340.092,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Nets46c49,750$22,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,885.0627747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Nets46c38,590$17,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,751.6287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks53c20,147$10,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,375.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Hawks54c19,121$10,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,795.6517249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets46c17,936$8,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,171.091,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hawks54c8,842$4,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,067.321,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets47c5,644$2,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks53c5,411$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.171,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks54c5,242$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Hawks53c2,867$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.3538253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks52c2,847$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.892,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Nets53c2,500$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.084645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks47c2,219$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Hawks54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets47c1,478$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.872,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Hawks54c1,395$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.71080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Nets47c1,383$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets48c1,185$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Nets45c1,110$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hawks53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks47c864.32$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Hawks52c768.46$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.8631551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Hawks55c636.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6331354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2044backed Hawks56c629.9$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.93548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hawks63c558$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2071,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hawks55c535.71$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Nets47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23524050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Hawks53c476.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2119135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Nets46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nets47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Hawks52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1928541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18450653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed Hawks53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.365048%24 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hawks55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets46c336.23$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.674,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nets47c327.15$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.761,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Nets46c296.87$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.561,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Hawks53c280$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.67648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nets47c241.22$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.092,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Nets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Hawks55c192.82$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets46c192.42$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.053,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hawks53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6881845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Hawks57c175.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Hawks54c147$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.621,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Hawks52c144.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.69853.1%52 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets47c132.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.743,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Nets48c117$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.168350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets49c116.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.183,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Nets47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Hawks61c104$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.021,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets43c100.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.021,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Hawks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4959144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Nets49c85.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4215936.5%58 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Hawks54c84.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7618250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Hawks54c70.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3745651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2641…062fbacked Nets37c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.68922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3543…bf81backed Hawks60c61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Hawks55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2714751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Hawks54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.637549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba35…92bdbacked Hawks52c59.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.825930.5%79 W · 180 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Hawks55c58.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.651,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks52c56.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.173,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Hawks54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.34250%21 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nets47c53.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.241,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5639…7246backed Hawks53c52.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.252759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Hawks55c51.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4148852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets48c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.483,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Hawks48c50.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3829156.4%164 W · 127 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Hawks55c50.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8192750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Nets47c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Nets50c49.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1429352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Hawks54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.35549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Nets48c45.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.619750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks52c43.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.113,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Hawks53c42.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.071,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Hawks53c41.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5463555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e29…31c9backed Nets49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d6f…6f59backed Hawks54c39.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Hawks57c38.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7521948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets52c35.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.75,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Hawks53c34.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1610653.8%57 W · 49 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08cf…4b40backed Hawks53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.962638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe408…e3bebacked Nets49c32.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Nets47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nets47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd0…9132backed Hawks54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Nets47c26.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.687946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7747…3d3fbacked Nets47c25.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Nets49c24.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8717844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Hawks55c21.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4628058.2%163 W · 117 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…10a0backed Hawks53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcbc…93a8backed Hawks54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ab…8169backed Hawks53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4107…c4c5backed Hawks54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Hawks54c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6844844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.