NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe082d80aa13a49d334d07f42f09e09d95a5a1ec6c46b282f21ab358362a299f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 6,012$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 52c | 2,138$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.51 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 1,978$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.24 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 44c | 1,693$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over | 48c | 1,490$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 1,156$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 55c | 911.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.95 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 866.81$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 609.83$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 592.27$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 426.78$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 403.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 388.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 56c | 353.9$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.71 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 54c | 295.06$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 49c | 234.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 45c | 147.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 47c | 124.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 122.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 121.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 120.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Under | 53c | 94.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 39c | 91.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 53c | 73.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 46c | 69.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 68.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 46c | 62.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 49.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 49c | 49.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 67c | 46.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 46.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…34d8backed Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 46c | 25.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Nets won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Egor Demin: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nets vs. HawksHawks won
- Nets vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Nets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.