TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,444 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c9,841$4,676 inLost-$4,676.084,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c4,698$2,413 inWon+$2,285.012,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under54c4,209$2,258 inWon+$1,950.891,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon+$47016550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over44c553$243 inLost-$243.3254747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under59c323.38$191 inWon+$132.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c321$164 inWon+$157.292,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over41c300$123 inLost-$12341050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c198.31$101 inLost-$101.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed Over42c175.25$74 inLost-$73.611926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c148.42$80 inWon+$68.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under51c100$51 inWon+$4935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under56c97.93$55 inWon+$43.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c90.06$41 inLost-$41.381,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c75$36 inWon+$39.355,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under49c50.11$25 inWon+$25.5629352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef93…9f0dbacked Under58c45.32$26 inWon+$19.031650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd92…50a5backed Under58c44.26$26 inWon+$18.591668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f4a…cf21backed Under58c43.1$25 inWon+$18.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d2…a07abacked Under58c42.19$24 inWon+$17.721030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under50c33.33$17 inWon+$16.6765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Over54c30$16 inLost-$16.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under54c27.45$15 inWon+$12.633,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf1d…0b3fbacked Under52c21.15$11 inWon+$10.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.