NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1512e23862f975aca1e357b6396b7a252fd5c0a66de6dcb11b56eb8939a9de1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Hurricanes | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.09 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Rangers | 54c | 2,505$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.63 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hurricanes | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 53c | 2,299$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.12 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Hurricanes | 47c | 1,693$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.89 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rangers | 53c | 686.46$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.06 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Hurricanes | 48c | 667.41$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.41 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rangers | 52c | 364.42$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.25 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 352$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Rangers | 55c | 339.8$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Hurricanes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Rangers | 55c | 263.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Rangers | 53c | 247.35$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hurricanes | 53c | 221.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Hurricanes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes | 48c | 168$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Hurricanes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rangers | 55c | 133.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 35c | 120.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hurricanes | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Hurricanes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Hurricanes | 45c | 55.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Hurricanes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Rangers | 56c | 52.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Hurricanes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rangers | 53c | 49.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hurricanes | 46c | 40.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Rangers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Hurricanes | 57c | 35.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1adfbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd73…3cc4backed Hurricanes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…9d8cbacked Hurricanes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Hurricanes | 45c | 27.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Hurricanes | 46c | 21.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rangers | 53c | 21.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Rangers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Rangers | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. RangersHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.