NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd839ec16016cc76f63ff2aece92ed5256619527d43dfd67d4fe5b3cfe4582c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $433,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $439,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Celtics | 48c | 132,034$63,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,674.09 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 51c | 118,039$60,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,352.71 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lakers | 50c | 96,332$48,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,428.13 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 49c | 55,800$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,299.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lakers | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Celtics | 50c | 35,021$17,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,510.71 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 48c | 28,621$13,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,882.91 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 49c | 26,156$12,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,323.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lakers | 52c | 20,900$10,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,868 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Celtics | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 52c | 14,205$7,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,386.6 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Celtics | 50c | 12,400$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 52c | 10,883$5,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Lakers | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 52c | 8,654$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…e71abacked Celtics | 50c | 8,486$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Celtics | 50c | 5,714$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.14 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 45c | 5,075$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 48c | 4,269$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics | 49c | 3,755$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.38 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Celtics | 50c | 2,837$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,654$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 48c | 2,144$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Lakers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…ae4cbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Celtics | 50c | 1,518$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lakers | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.96 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 48c | 1,375$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.15 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 50c | 1,243$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Celtics | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…7554backed Celtics | 51c | 1,143$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Celtics | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 72c | 971.74$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 50c | 913.39$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.31 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 50c | 867.32$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.38 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 52c | 800.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Celtics | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Celtics | 50c | 614$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lakers | 50c | 605.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Lakers | 49c | 599.94$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.97 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lakers | 50c | 584$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.43 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Celtics | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Celtics | 49c | 580$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Celtics | 73c | 547$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Celtics | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Celtics | 48c | 414.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Lakers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Lakers | 53c | 341.13$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Celtics | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Lakers | 49c | 306$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Lakers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Lakers | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Lakers | 52c | 290.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 26c | 212.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Celtics | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 50c | 192.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Lakers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Lakers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…42a7backed Celtics | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +360.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics | 52c | 173.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 50c | 170.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Celtics | 49c | 162.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Celtics | 51c | 156.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Celtics | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Celtics | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…415abacked Celtics | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Lakers | 52c | 148.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Lakers | 52c | 148.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Celtics | 72c | 139.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Celtics | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Lakers | 52c | 137.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Lakers | 52c | 136.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Lakers | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Celtics | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…f92cbacked Celtics | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Lakers | 52c | 120.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Celtics | 70c | 117.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 49c | 114$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Celtics | 72c | 106.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Lakers | 49c | 105.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Lakers | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Celtics | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Celtics | 50c | 100.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Celtics | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Lakers | 42c | 87.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Celtics | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Lakers | 41c | 79.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Celtics | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Celtics | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Celtics | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Celtics | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Celtics | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…0078backed Lakers | 35c | 64.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Celtics | 48c | 62.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lakers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731f…6d78backed Celtics | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Lakers | 52c | 58.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)this page
- Celtics vs. LakersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.