NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43effa881529f0a3e9c7a030148ce4f23a5e0f821b4972a9dfc8b6e4dbe5dab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 49,995$24,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,997.5 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 28,471$14,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,235.31 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 50c | 21,512$10,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,755.92 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 50c | 18,949$9,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,475.26 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 17,778$9,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,074.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 11,855$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 50c | 7,176$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.77 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 47c | 5,494$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.32 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 47c | 4,582$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.17 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 4,119$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 3,007$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.74 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 54c | 2,930$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.93 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 2,908$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,691$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 50c | 2,540$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,866$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.37 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,172$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Over | 55c | 978$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.9 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 5c | 785$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 50c | 770$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.32 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 50c | 743$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.5 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 645$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.75 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 79c | 594$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…ca19backed Over | 70c | 548.58$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 38c | 496.1$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.47 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 78c | 420$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 396$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 54c | 384.89$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.03 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 382.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 21c | 350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 339.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 334.6$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 25c | 333.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Under | 50c | 329$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 293.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Over | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 46c | 223$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 181$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 71c | 158.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Under | 51c | 158.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 152.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 50c | 101.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…0a06backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 52c | 98.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 43c | 95.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Over | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe990…6d70backed Over | 36c | 83.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad3a…e2a7backed Over | 68c | 81.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 46c | 71.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…3c77backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 48c | 69.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 34c | 68.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 67.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 50c | 60.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 52c | 57.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bd…8357backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…4d19backed Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 50c | 48.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 33c | 47.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 51c | 44.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 55c | 40.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…4430backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 32.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…3bd8backed Under | 49c | 32.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 31.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb1…bd66backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5this page
- Celtics vs. LakersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.