TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,701 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb729…4e2ebacked Lakers32c2,866$913 inLost-$913.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics66c872.85$575 inWon+$297.825,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Celtics66c723.64$475 inWon+$248.5548956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Celtics54c463.09$250 inWon+$213.098657%49 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Celtics53c202.81$107 inWon+$95.3226545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Lakers47c195.68$91 inLost-$91.2928842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1452…3c00backed Celtics56c139.71$78 inWon+$61.884447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Celtics45c115.22$52 inWon+$63.3727739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a84…af78backed Celtics55c96.25$53 inWon+$43.3116654.8%91 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd12…5503backed Celtics34c93.23$32 inWon+$61.53850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+83.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Lakers42c83.33$35 inLost-$358944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Celtics44c57$25 inWon+$31.9253134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Lakers45c50.14$23 inLost-$22.5629243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Lakers44c50$22 inLost-$222,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Lakers52c43.38$23 inLost-$22.566647%31 W · 35 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a8b…039abacked Celtics56c32.93$18 inWon+$14.4912450.8%63 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x563c…0dbfbacked Celtics55c31.89$18 inWon+$14.3516352.1%85 W · 78 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Lakers47c29.07$14 inLost-$13.541,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers41c25.07$10 inLost-$10.281,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43dd…ba4ebacked Celtics56c24.11$14 inWon+$10.617850%39 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b8…3c28backed Celtics44c22.77$10 inWon+$12.7516944.4%75 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics50c22$11 inWon+$112,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x573d…afbabacked Celtics55c21.15$12 inWon+$9.521283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7a…bf1fbacked Celtics50c20$10 inWon+$10837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.