NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b5acdaf57dc67c0f8845e5cfb0fb96481207de49a2f119e014f81f43ca4746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 1,887$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 55c | 1,835$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 1,782$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 975.13$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 24c | 874.09$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.78 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 652.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.69 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…68e3backed Over | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 575.9$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Over | 58c | 571.81$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 520.91$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 457.16$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 43c | 438$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked Under | 44c | 384.79$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 352.36$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 4c | 319.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 305.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 44c | 280$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 54c | 215.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 58c | 172.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 42c | 143.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 140.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Over | 56c | 132.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Over | 56c | 130.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Over | 56c | 121.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 114.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 48c | 112.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 101.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Over | 50c | 96.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…8158backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 56c | 71.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 55c | 64.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Under | 42c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 56c | 53.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…4d19backed Under | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 47c | 43.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe990…6d70backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked Over | 55c | 27.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 26.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…2988backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5this page
- Celtics vs. LakersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.