NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b3934c61f6216ec9f55aa5c46bff04bdac2773619f0108a669ef76a364d4755

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Lakers
Resolved: Feb 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $138,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $137,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,460 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics	45c	89,992$40,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,557.92	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers	55c	78,591$43,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,172.29	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers	55c	23,466$12,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,811.56	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Celtics	45c	7,718$3,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,244.72	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics	46c	5,769$2,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,115.38	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics	46c	3,391$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,831.3	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics	46c	2,851$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,550.83	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics	44c	2,317$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300.32	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Celtics	45c	2,008$903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,104.26	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics	57c	1,623$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.39	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Lakers	54c	1,401$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.92	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Lakers	56c	901.79$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Celtics	47c	846.27$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.52	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Celtics	48c	827.99$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.42	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Celtics	46c	763.01$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.03	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics	45c	664.77$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.36	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Lakers	55c	582$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.1	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Lakers	55c	500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	289	29.4%85 W · 204 L	-13.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers	54c	434.62$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.69	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Celtics	47c	424$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.72	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Celtics	47c	423$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.19	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Lakers	53c	390$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.7	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Lakers	57c	317.6$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.03	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Lakers	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers	55c	284$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.2	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Celtics	45c	280$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…42a7backed Celtics	45c	265.22$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.22	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.42per pick	41cpaid	+360.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics	47c	239.61$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.24	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics	56c	219.94$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.03	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Lakers	55c	200$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.64	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked Lakers	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Lakers	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Lakers	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Lakers	47c	199.99$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	263	39.5%104 W · 159 L	-13.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Lakers	55c	185$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.75	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Celtics	45c	177.78$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.78	383	50.4%193 W · 190 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Lakers	56c	177.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Celtics	44c	160$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.6	410	50.7%208 W · 202 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics	56c	159.72$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.51	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Celtics	45c	155.56$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.56	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Celtics	46c	152.17$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.17	282	45.4%128 W · 154 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Lakers	53c	150.94$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Lakers	55c	145.3$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Celtics	53c	144.02$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.72	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Lakers	55c	142.91$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.63	182	50%91 W · 91 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Celtics	46c	141.3$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.3	102	43.1%44 W · 58 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Celtics	45c	140$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Celtics	45c	131.23$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.76	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Celtics	53c	130$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.5	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Lakers	55c	129.06$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.99	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Lakers	55c	126$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.3	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfd…2f8ebacked Lakers	53c	117.77$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.84	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Celtics	52c	110.02$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.91	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Celtics	45c	109.49$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.08	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Celtics	48c	103.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.86	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics	50c	102.18$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.87	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Celtics	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Celtics	46c	98.3$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.08	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd2…1b21backed Celtics	45c	98$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.9	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics	47c	97.87$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.87	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Lakers	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Celtics	63c	88.04$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.57	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Celtics	46c	86.96$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.96	222	49.5%110 W · 112 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Celtics	49c	84.37$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.66	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Lakers	55c	84.09$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.25	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Lakers	55c	78.25$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.04	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics	44c	76.57$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.63	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Lakers	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics	60c	66.87$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.87	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Lakers	53c	66.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	257	52.5%135 W · 122 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Celtics	46c	65.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	270	52.6%142 W · 128 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics	56c	63.86$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.82	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics	44c	63.21$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.08	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Celtics	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	-12.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Celtics	51c	60.72$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.75	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc09…fe55backed Celtics	45c	55.53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.54	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtics	46c	55.13$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.77	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Celtics	46c	51.74$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.94	231	44.2%102 W · 129 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Celtics	48c	50.89$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.46	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Celtics	46c	48.46$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.17	920	58%534 W · 386 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Lakers	46c	48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.84	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Celtics	46c	47.68$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.85	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bde…237abacked Lakers	56c	45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Celtics	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x124c…94a8backed Celtics	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.6wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+99.6%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e93…0078backed Lakers	36c	41.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Celtics	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	115	42.6%49 W · 66 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics	45c	41.13$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.46	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbb…6cc7backed Lakers	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x709f…96ecbacked Lakers	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Lakers	43c	34.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Celtics	46c	32.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.61	176	50%88 W · 88 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Celtics	46c	32.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.61	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers	54c	32.61$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc633…415abacked Celtics	46c	32.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.61	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Celtics	46c	32.2$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.39	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-5.1wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2db8…eb45backed Celtics	46c	31.3$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.9	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Celtics	45c	30.31$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	251	44.2%111 W · 140 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Lakers	56c	29.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Celtics	43c	28.89$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Celtics (-2.5)this page
Celtics vs. LakersCeltics won
Celtics vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Celtics vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5Under won
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5No won
Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Celtics (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event