TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under27c14,372$3,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,830.611,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over73c6,163$4,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.439749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d2…1b03backed Over72c5,135$3,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.6811945.4%54 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Over75c4,547$3,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.328166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under27c4,033$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.531,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Under32c4,006$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.8125547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under27c3,133$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.6727447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under8c3,036$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6650848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Under28c1,926$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.1443442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aeb…22fbbacked Over73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under29c1,383$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6344335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Over72c1,353$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.4932457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over67c1,161$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.372,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under27c997.21$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4715232.2%49 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over69c989$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5914852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ce…8884backed Over74c972.85$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.941838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over67c898.74$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.681,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc040…78f6backed Over72c894.49$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under28c874.97$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.991,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over74c843.03$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1213960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Over72c777.08$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5828647.9%137 W · 149 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under28c710.71$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19924041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over73c644$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2226940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under27c633.33$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17159248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe634…fae1backed Under5c539.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.76911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-83.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over71c528.17$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1710652.8%56 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Under28c521.71$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.474252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…e7b3backed Over71c514.83$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.831163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb2…58c1backed Over72c487.5$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under29c486.19$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14132345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under27c437.04$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11834250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Over72c413.22$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0921746.5%101 W · 116 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x143c…88b9backed Over73c409.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7927848.2%134 W · 144 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under27c408.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1944743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e8…ba12backed Under29c407.86$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over70c399.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12024649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under35c394.53$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.011,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…adbcbacked Over72c333.33$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.334050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Under27c306.57$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4916935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over63c288$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.682,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0865…81d3backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.783154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Under14c249.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8856317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Over75c248.86$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7620150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over72c246$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.884837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under12c243.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1389810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…727fbacked Under28c240$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over46c230$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.211637.1%43 W · 73 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Under22c226.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.563923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…7fa3backed Over73c211.01$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2528552.6%150 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7421…ae44backed Over72c207.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.316356.4%92 W · 71 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Over72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5627455.8%153 W · 121 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Under29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8a…c8d6backed Over72c153.7$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over73c150.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.963,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b27…add3backed Over66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bb…a2cdbacked Under29c148.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.280%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under28c146.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4121943.8%96 W · 123 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under29c145.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4224235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855437%20 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over73c140$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.650455%277 W · 227 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedde…7753backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20d…b58bbacked Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.896966.7%46 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Over72c137.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0629240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b5…7e91backed Under28c137$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da1…cd7bbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d9…51c5backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.995062%31 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under26c133.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2778050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed6d…9b95backed Over72c131.47$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over52c124.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5835223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf219…3776backed Over72c122.69$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024e…5070backed Under30c118$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over72c114.19$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.979253.3%49 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ab…dea1backed Under30c111$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Over72c109$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.578347%39 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c79…8fffbacked Over57c100.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9316143.5%70 W · 91 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Over71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ead…5c81backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.553954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4b…ee55backed Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…3202backed Over71c98.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.594938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed Over71c94.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.74555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5e…81ebbacked Over71c92.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.571353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5a…5491backed Under29c92.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-61.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Over72c89.63$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.115155.6%84 W · 67 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…9da8backed Under28c89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.921225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2421457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Over74c76.56$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.098156.8%46 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c6…68dabacked Under29c72.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…3942backed Over70c70.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.128760.9%53 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under19c65.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.671,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x289b…178cbacked Over73c62.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.875259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48d4…1e34backed Over72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.053756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over68c57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x802e…adf4backed Over71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.344961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9406…acabbacked Over72c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.