Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x625047568880eccc9bfd56eb30b8cfe6acf031d0dac657dc36738adeb8230655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 64c | 609.14$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.62 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…03e6backed Over | 32c | 557$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…85c6backed Over | 33c | 469$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49df…6b03backed Under | 67c | 456$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…9228backed Over | 33c | 427$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 43c | 406.05$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.24 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…6c3fbacked Over | 32c | 398$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…2418backed Over | 33c | 396$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…8358backed Over | 33c | 318$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95dd…dd13backed Over | 32c | 316$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8039…575cbacked Over | 32c | 296$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…574fbacked Under | 67c | 292$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…7c94backed Under | 67c | 277$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…40fabacked Under | 68c | 276$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…f500backed Under | 67c | 256$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Over | 48c | 254$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…4e98backed Under | 67c | 251$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a36…7454backed Under | 68c | 249$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…605cbacked Over | 32c | 248$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +141%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…f0b6backed Under | 67c | 248$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…bf6bbacked Under | 68c | 241$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 66c | 239.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 52c | 220.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…d7cabacked Over | 33c | 207$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…52a5backed Under | 67c | 207$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…0b26backed Under | 67c | 205$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…c4c3backed Over | 32c | 204$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…2f1abacked Under | 67c | 204$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…c9e2backed Under | 68c | 202$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…be52backed Under | 67c | 201$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…1663backed Over | 33c | 195$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 34c | 188.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f2…a07dbacked Under | 68c | 157$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…1dd2backed Under | 68c | 152$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…4f07backed Under | 68c | 149$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…3bb4backed Under | 68c | 148$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Over | 33c | 147.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…ac55backed Over | 32c | 95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +141%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ed…9ef4backed Over | 33c | 89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Over | 40c | 88.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 55c | 86.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Under | 68c | 80.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Over | 26c | 79.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 65c | 76.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…e36dbacked Under | 67c | 76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 35c | 68.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 31c | 63.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…7ba2backed Under | 57c | 55.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…f29abacked Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…e08ebacked Under | 67c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…c346backed Over | 66c | 38.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…f1b7backed Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 39c | 33.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 74c | 32.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Under | 63c | 30.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…281bbacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 70c | 19.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)JD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 5?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.