TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,989 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae30…079ebacked JD Gaming76c3,297$2,500 inWon+$797.118047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked JD Gaming73c2,060$1,504 inWon+$556.1934651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bilibili Gaming23c1,624$381 inLost-$380.531,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Bilibili Gaming25c1,520$380 inLost-$3806432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Bilibili Gaming27c1,490$402 inLost-$402.344335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Bilibili Gaming27c740.74$200 inLost-$2009242.4%39 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming23c599.98$138 inLost-$1381,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed JD Gaming73c581.58$425 inWon+$157.0348440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked JD Gaming77c578.8$444 inWon+$134.7232457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Bilibili Gaming23c500$115 inLost-$11550848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed JD Gaming78c479.25$372 inWon+$107.2538034.7%132 W · 248 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Bilibili Gaming27c155.56$42 inLost-$425450%27 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed JD Gaming77c129.87$100 inWon+$29.8761150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1a…6049backed Bilibili Gaming27c111.11$30 inLost-$308240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed JD Gaming75c102.36$77 inWon+$25.5913154.2%71 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Bilibili Gaming22c86.6$19 inLost-$19.051,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Bilibili Gaming26c80$21 inLost-$20.81,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Bilibili Gaming27c55.56$15 inLost-$159538.9%37 W · 58 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Bilibili Gaming24c50$12 inLost-$1253954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed JD Gaming78c38.46$30 inWon+$8.464242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed JD Gaming78c25$20 inWon+$5.51770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.