NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 207.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea539648b4382c59c488af959e4d4daabf892ecd0136fa0079d0781184e9faf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 48c | 63,105$30,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,143.33 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 11,875$6,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 11,780$6,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,687.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 10,781$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113.98 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 53c | 10,000$5,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,716.67 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.96 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 53c | 5,946$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.46 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 4,393$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 51c | 3,627$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.17 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 1,546$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 1,535$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.94 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…52f1backed Under | 51c | 1,131$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 51c | 970$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.3 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 954.56$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 936.99$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.13 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 53c | 916.74$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.87 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 713.08$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 707$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.43 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 50c | 670.98$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.98 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 502.69$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…f3dcbacked Over | 44c | 317.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 303$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 288.9$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 51c | 282.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 263.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 51c | 112$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 52c | 97.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Under | 53c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…7cbabacked Over | 51c | 51.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 51c | 51.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 49.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…9f9cbacked Over | 48c | 44.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 51c | 37.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 51c | 37.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Under | 52c | 27.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 27.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Over | 48c | 26.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Under | 51c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 51c | 24.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 22.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…a982backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 207.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Suns won
- Celtics vs. SunsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 203.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 204.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 205.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 210.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 211.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.