NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b66fadb1d94b9f056975fcf24a30300033006277be1572c18710b84f1bf2c94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 50c | 60,947$30,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,210.36 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 45,000$22,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,350 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 50c | 31,686$15,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,925.68 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 19,736$9,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,828.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 50c | 8,954$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.87 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 6,762$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 53c | 4,738$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 3,190$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.9 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 2,590$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 1,406$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,402$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 676.82$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.81 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa0…b8a3backed Under | 50c | 563.79$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 4c | 478.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Over | 52c | 467.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 432.65$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 397.15$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.55 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Under | 49c | 380$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 331.35$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 300.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 228.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 45c | 172.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Over | 52c | 154.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 152.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 49c | 146.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Over | 52c | 133.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 100.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 50c | 99.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 82.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9561…ae8abacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 48c | 62.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…7219backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5081backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 53c | 37.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Under | 50c | 35.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 54c | 35.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 74c | 27.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Suns won
- Celtics vs. SunsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 203.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 204.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 205.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 207.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 210.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 211.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.