NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 209.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc19a9736faf62c219905b155c4069b9adba85b47df37e5d2994120081adb115

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $118,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $122,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,970 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over	46c	70,095$31,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,991.37	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	54c	52,391$28,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,156.43	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	52c	8,250$4,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,941.59	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over	51c	5,935$3,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,022.96	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	54c	4,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,839.98	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over	53c	3,789$2,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,008.32	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under	55c	3,636$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,636.36	187	47.1%88 W · 99 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	55c	3,520$1,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,601.4	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	56c	3,510$1,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,554.5	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under	49c	3,500$1,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,785	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over	53c	2,141$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134.69	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over	51c	1,960$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.5	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under	49c	1,247$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.78	184	48.9%90 W · 94 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under	58c	1,035$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.7	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over	51c	982.83$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.86	348	55.2%192 W · 156 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	52c	870$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.7	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over	47c	840$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.8	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	56c	821.75$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.57	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	44c	802$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.88	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over	42c	753.55$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.49	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over	4c	631.55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.1	408	49%200 W · 208 L	-12.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under	54c	600$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	58c	581.44$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.2	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over	50c	558$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279	260	48.1%125 W · 135 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over	50c	500$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	55c	434.58$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.56	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under	59c	422.9$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.48	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under	55c	418.18$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.18	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Over	46c	314.38$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.04	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under	49c	270.1$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.75	405	46.9%190 W · 215 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	55c	245.59$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.38	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	55c	241.28$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.63	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	41c	198.22$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.95	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa558…dc8cbacked Under	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Over	47c	161.91$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.1	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under	56c	133.93$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.93	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	48c	111.26$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	55c	111.1$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.99	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	55c	106.29$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.83	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	56c	100.77$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Under	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Over	46c	93$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.07	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	51c	88.43$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.43	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked Under	55c	72.71$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.72	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	55c	63.8$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.92	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under	56c	49$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.56	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	56c	48.71$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	50c	46.37$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.31	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Under	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80df…87fcbacked Over	53c	45.28$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c05…639ebacked Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Over	51c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-7.8wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	58c	37.56$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.77	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…7219backed Over	44c	35.41$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over	42c	35.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a26…dae7backed Over	47c	32.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Over	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Under	52c	29.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.97	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	-13.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Under	51c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.21	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under	56c	27.15$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f9…0975backed Under	49c	27.14$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.88	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	55c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.15	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Under	55c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	602	67.3%405 W · 197 L	+46.2wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Under	49c	24.49$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c1…9767backed Over	51c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4374…148dbacked Over	50c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	51	66.7%34 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc5f8…148fbacked Over	44c	23.57$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Under	49c	23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.73	97	60.8%59 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under	53c	22.71$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.67	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	56c	21.9$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.62	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under	58c	20.69$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.69	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2d…e40dbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	72.2%26 W · 10 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d2…1b00backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 209.5this page
1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Suns won
Celtics vs. SunsCeltics won
Celtics vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 203.5Under won
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 204.5Under won
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 205.5Under won
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5Under won
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 207.5Under won
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 210.5Under won
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 211.5Under won
Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 17.5No won
Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 209.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event