TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,625 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes34c1,500$510 inLost-$51065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No65c1,500$975 inWon+$5251,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes34c882.35$300 inLost-$3001414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes33c872.17$290 inLost-$2904637%17 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No67c700$469 inWon+$23126069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked Yes33c508.79$168 inLost-$167.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No65c498.45$324 inWon+$174.141,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No67c373$250 inWon+$123.0911942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No67c355.08$237 inWon+$117.764,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1ebbacked Yes35c286.05$100 inLost-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…30d3backed Yes34c265.17$90 inLost-$89.651040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No66c248.84$165 inWon+$83.6483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Yes40c200.44$80 inLost-$79.925837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed Yes33c200$66 inLost-$661717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes40c125.23$50 inLost-$506342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fa…f2e0backed Yes35c102.86$36 inLost-$3650%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost-$3313151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No67c71.89$48 inWon+$23.7288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes35c51.6$18 inLost-$18.062,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed No67c50$34 inWon+$16.521672.2%156 W · 60 L+28.6wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Yes30c50$15 inLost-$157851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No68c20$14 inWon+$6.596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No65c18.39$12 inWon+$6.442857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.