NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 205.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf8c19a87a39ed79c9bdd20ee0b2055caa19058c971474e74a658031163228aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 52c | 46,700$24,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,408.09 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 26,970$12,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,064.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 10,792$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,612.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 3,645$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 2,039$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 65c | 1,890$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.31 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 1,456$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 49c | 990$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 46c | 876.12$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 817.71$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.05 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Over | 36c | 771.86$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.87 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 582.12$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 564.96$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.73 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 49c | 489$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.39 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 467.39$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.86 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 464.75$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 382.29$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.59 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 274.06$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 203.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 31c | 196.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 55c | 181.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 148.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 26c | 148.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…0613backed Over | 11c | 97.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Over | 43c | 92.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 51c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 54c | 79.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 49c | 76.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Over | 40c | 73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 49c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 78c | 64.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…0578backed Over | 55c | 56.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 54.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 57c | 50.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 44c | 43.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Under | 46c | 40.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272a…88cfbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 30c | 38.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 68c | 29.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 64c | 26.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 77c | 24.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 69c | 19.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 205.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Suns won
- Celtics vs. SunsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 203.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 204.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 207.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 210.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 211.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.