Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb75b73c26b757c7379b5a697625a84e6b7a1671fcf51ecf559dfe62d9a0344de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GIANTX | 0c | 6,463$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GIANTX | 37c | 5,945$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.15 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 3,975$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed GIANTX | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.99 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 1,529$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.86 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 1,200$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 1,098$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.1 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed GIANTX | 42c | 949$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.81 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed GIANTX | 36c | 938.04$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.9 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed GIANTX | 35c | 925.9$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.96 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed GIANTX | 41c | 904.51$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.85 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 850.33$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.47 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 816.84$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.03 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 811.03$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.63 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed GIANTX | 37c | 647.24$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.48 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…e932backed GIANTX | 31c | 645.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GIANTX | 37c | 564.39$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 555.76$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.76 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed GIANTX | 42c | 531.61$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed GIANTX | 38c | 432.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked GIANTX | 33c | 405$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 323.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 317.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…ee58backed GIANTX | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed GIANTX | 37c | 252.2$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed GIANTX | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked GIANTX | 33c | 233.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 207.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked GIANTX | 35c | 173.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 148.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 134.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked GIANTX | 37c | 131$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 128.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…f87ebacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 128.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 123.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 113.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 156 | 73.1%114 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed GIANTX | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 88.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed GIANTX | 38c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked GIANTX | 33c | 66.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Karmine Corp | 65c | 46.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed GIANTX | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 37.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed GIANTX | 37c | 36.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked GIANTX | 38c | 35.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…7b24backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a9…50b3backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…640bbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 28.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed GIANTX | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 27.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed GIANTX | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…2af9backed GIANTX | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 166 | 36.1%60 W · 106 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked GIANTX | 42c | 24.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 3?GIANTX won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.