Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29735a1fd66787d0c7a26d0c635880a07bd23fbb35541eb99c6f78c2d85c3f78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 36c | 824.48$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.91 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 65c | 504.7$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked Over | 57c | 490$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Under | 52c | 480.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.15 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Under | 67c | 365.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 34c | 365.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 67c | 271.49$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 55c | 235$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 36c | 216.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 43c | 192.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Under | 54c | 126.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Over | 64c | 120.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…58b1backed Over | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 68.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 34c | 59.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 44c | 58.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 44c | 58.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Over | 69c | 58.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Over | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Over | 53c | 47.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…bda8backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 34c | 42.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 59c | 20.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…50e5backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…7c70backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…217cbacked Over | 69c | 17.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 3?GIANTX won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.