Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd84fbcd29c2c770eaab745a3dd1ccc08ad4c7cf1ec5241e13b85b3edc064c79f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 3,281$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.01 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed GIANTX | 67c | 3,243$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.57 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed GIANTX | 66c | 2,122$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.52 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 1,989$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.33 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked GIANTX | 22c | 592.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Karmine Corp | 32c | 569.98$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.59 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed GIANTX | 30c | 539$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 380.54$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.54 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…1b4ebacked GIANTX | 69c | 364.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 300.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Karmine Corp | 33c | 295.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed GIANTX | 68c | 294$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Karmine Corp | 34c | 280$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Karmine Corp | 33c | 263.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GIANTX | 43c | 234.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 175.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked GIANTX | 50c | 173$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 163.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Karmine Corp | 35c | 156.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…ee58backed GIANTX | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 139.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Karmine Corp | 33c | 122.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed GIANTX | 50c | 121.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 112.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed GIANTX | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Karmine Corp | 33c | 79.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed GIANTX | 68c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed GIANTX | 31c | 62.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed GIANTX | 69c | 55.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2291…de8bbacked GIANTX | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked GIANTX | 68c | 34.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed GIANTX | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked GIANTX | 62c | 28.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GIANTX | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed GIANTX | 68c | 21.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed GIANTX | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 3?GIANTX won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.