TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BRUTE vs NightBirds (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NightBirdsof BRUTE, NightBirds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58f8…dc70backed NightBirds72c13,460$9,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.0439770.3%279 W · 118 L+30.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked NightBirds77c11,034$8,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.6117163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed NightBirds77c10,349$7,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.1712850%64 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked BRUTE25c6,795$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.121546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NightBirds73c5,593$4,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.931,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked NightBirds77c5,115$3,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.491,48250%741 W · 741 L+65.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BRUTE23c4,438$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.383,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked BRUTE23c4,406$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.3532345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked BRUTE23c4,300$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9893627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed BRUTE27c3,664$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.8340933.7%138 W · 271 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked BRUTE30c2,728$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.6916325.2%41 W · 122 L-15.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed BRUTE25c2,596$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.822,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed BRUTE25c2,500$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.9848440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed BRUTE23c2,370$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.1124041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked BRUTE29c2,267$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.4320151.7%104 W · 97 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed BRUTE24c2,076$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5818829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked BRUTE25c1,997$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.4512333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed BRUTE24c1,767$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42420249%99 W · 103 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed BRUTE23c1,300$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29911542.6%49 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed BRUTE20c1,243$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3729927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed NightBirds76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed BRUTE24c1,181$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5242735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bb…a2cdbacked BRUTE29c1,160$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6180%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NightBirds77c1,017$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.111,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed NightBirds78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked BRUTE24c944.7$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.732330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed BRUTE1c940.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6489810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed BRUTE24c924.6$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1422536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed BRUTE12c868.76$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.431,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e03…c1c8backed BRUTE32c744.78$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed NightBirds71c616.13$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18033552.8%177 W · 158 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked BRUTE23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13877131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NightBirds78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked BRUTE23c434.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015747.8%75 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked BRUTE34c382.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13053649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed BRUTE28c357.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011340.7%46 W · 67 L-12.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked BRUTE30c337.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007448.6%36 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked NightBirds80c289.52$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0921457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed NightBirds71c284.18$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.556569.2%45 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed BRUTE23c253.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3810823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed BRUTE32c250.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807828.2%22 W · 56 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked BRUTE16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed BRUTE13c222.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2932653.4%174 W · 152 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked NightBirds67c218.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3122336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BRUTE13c215.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.021,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed BRUTE15c203.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308929.2%26 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f5f…d393backed BRUTE23c194.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.86035%21 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcefa…40bbbacked BRUTE28c176$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.286462.5%40 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked BRUTE15c174.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.462138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked BRUTE27c168.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0536246.4%168 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed NightBirds71c154$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6610355.3%57 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed BRUTE31c140$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.424941.4%103 W · 146 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe08c…4f19backed BRUTE31c138.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c3…2149backed BRUTE23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306741.8%28 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed NightBirds77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8723674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed NightBirds74c119.79$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.872347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed BRUTE11c118.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.226530.8%20 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BRUTE24c115.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.531,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed BRUTE27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302552%13 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed BRUTE23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.328240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed BRUTE27c108.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297833.3%26 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe9…987ebacked BRUTE28c107.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.723345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked BRUTE22c100.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5218440.8%75 W · 109 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed BRUTE26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked BRUTE29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed NightBirds77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2314763.3%93 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd572…5510backed BRUTE27c99.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked BRUTE23c95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8528837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed BRUTE23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9596054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed NightBirds73c86.11$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2558042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed BRUTE24c85.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.949035.6%32 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed NightBirds77c82.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0314644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed NightBirds74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9813155%72 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BRUTE19c69.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed NightBirds73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4934860.9%212 W · 136 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cbc…5dfcbacked NightBirds76c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.844770.2%33 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked NightBirds77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.753966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked BRUTE32c63.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.154247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed BRUTE27c63.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed BRUTE26c61.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked BRUTE23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.857333%189 W · 384 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed BRUTE23c55.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9930247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502c…7c03backed NightBirds77c52.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.09560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c14…ffa5backed NightBirds73c52.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed BRUTE23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick34cpaid-71.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa8…31afbacked BRUTE29c52.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc03d…07e1backed BRUTE26c51.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked BRUTE24c50.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.441225%3 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9810…b0debacked BRUTE28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-78.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed NightBirds78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked NightBirds76c45.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1314846.6%69 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked BRUTE26c45.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7752049.2%256 W · 264 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c6…68dabacked BRUTE27c44.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked NightBirds80c43.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.753655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked BRUTE29c35.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.256235.5%22 W · 40 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed NightBirds73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.154054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked NightBirds68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63969.2%27 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2559…053bbacked NightBirds75c26.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked NightBirds77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked NightBirds77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.974362.8%27 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.