NFL · resolved market
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Flex Player?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f6bffed7b56d44f22b9b1178f185da7861d8b036843c5312399ab29593391e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 3c | 3,728$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 33c | 1,139$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.65 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db5…82e3backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…6514backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…0724backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…5d9cbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked Yes | 16c | 863.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf863…82ccbacked Yes | 20c | 651.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 31c | 489.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked Yes | 51c | 444.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…5f28backed Yes | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 22c | 436.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 37c | 322.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 39c | 312.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 307.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 39c | 244.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…3820backed Yes | 67c | 223.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…ce7cbacked No | 32c | 180.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 14c | 173.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 48c | 172.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…3ad2backed No | 48c | 165.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes | 62c | 159.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 55c | 144.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8808…75a8backed Yes | 53c | 143.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 49c | 141.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 20c | 135.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 10c | 131.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 36c | 127.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a7…6728backed Yes | 54c | 126.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…3acabacked No | 49c | 124.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 37c | 122.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 9c | 120.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…5326backed Yes | 53c | 114.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4724…6d70backed No | 49c | 107.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…4e14backed No | 50c | 102.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…5c0cbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 41c | 99.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 97.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 36c | 95.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…35f8backed No | 43c | 91.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 50c | 90.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21b9…7481backed No | 50c | 89.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…6ec6backed Yes | 54c | 89.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5535…18a0backed No | 49c | 85.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd825…7d51backed Yes | 53c | 85.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6935…3b99backed Yes | 63c | 84.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…db51backed No | 44c | 84.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…322ebacked Yes | 59c | 83.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Yes | 62c | 80.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…5176backed Yes | 57c | 79.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…dbfcbacked No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…3a79backed Yes | 41c | 76.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…5cfbbacked Yes | 53c | 74.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 33c | 74.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31cc…5dd6backed No | 49c | 73.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b8…2638backed No | 68c | 72.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb564…778dbacked Yes | 65c | 71.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…cd6bbacked No | 48c | 70.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591e…d5d6backed Yes | 54c | 69.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…5c3bbacked Yes | 52c | 68.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…8bb4backed Yes | 58c | 65.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221c…c60fbacked No | 70c | 64.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…4b23backed No | 41c | 64.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…fcb6backed No | 39c | 63.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…8bc8backed No | 38c | 61.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…4b70backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137a…0307backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…e368backed Yes | 59c | 58.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1d…430fbacked Yes | 58c | 58.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…34d4backed Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…7effbacked Yes | 52c | 58.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…7a6bbacked No | 45c | 58.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e4…d34fbacked Yes | 72c | 57.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed0…173fbacked Yes | 58c | 56.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…d3e8backed Yes | 44c | 56.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…4071backed Yes | 68c | 55.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…b138backed No | 64c | 53.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6412…28cebacked No | 50c | 53.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a66…9faebacked No | 51c | 53.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…585cbacked No | 55c | 53.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…66ffbacked No | 44c | 52.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…94babacked Yes | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…c4b3backed Yes | 52c | 51.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b617backed No | 59c | 51.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…d77abacked Yes | 59c | 50.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…4200backed Yes | 56c | 50.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…b4fdbacked Yes | 60c | 50.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc5…ff9bbacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…20f8backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…2394backed Yes | 67c | 49.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f5…1b36backed No | 48c | 47.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 30c | 43.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…914ebacked Yes | 58c | 43.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0c1bbacked Yes | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Flex Player?this page
- Will A.J. Brown be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Bijan Robinson be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Breece Hall be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Derrick Henry be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Garrett Wilson be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Taylor be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Puka Nacua be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will another player be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.