NFL · resolved market
Will A.J. Brown be the top Fantasy Flex Player?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x037cdfb810f1e9661f1157f2932b25e9ff17d4151d9e815440b1e6ffc6ce519e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,010,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b27…87bebacked Yes | 0c | 11,023$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…2a05backed Yes | 0c | 10,640$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb33…5827backed Yes | 0c | 10,510$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de7…e20dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,107$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd59…af5ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74f…2fbcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,087$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…8e84backed Yes | 0c | 10,084$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ea…8d4dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,080$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,446$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…5c9fbacked Yes | 2c | 971$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 1c | 835.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will A.J. Brown be the top Fantasy Flex Player?this page
- Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Bijan Robinson be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Breece Hall be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Derrick Henry be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Garrett Wilson be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Taylor be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Puka Nacua be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
- Will another player be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.