NFL · resolved market

Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6517a0ecfc4eac4dfaff042e0529451f11e7dc241163e46e47912c701b956a7a

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $208,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $221,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,740 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6837…15e1backed Yes	69c	2,048$1,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.97	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+3.6wins	+0.23per pick	21cpaid	+626.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Yes	49c	934.99$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.33	162	59.9%97 W · 65 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes	78c	879.46$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193	132	17.4%23 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+104.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No	59c	865.48$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.92	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-12.1wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-39%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x54db…5a9bbacked Yes	37c	854.18$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.82	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+183.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No	2c	851.45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	38c	759.78$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.31	314	39.8%125 W · 189 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked No	5c	747.36$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.19	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes	44c	646.44$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.44	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed No	8c	521.05$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.64	51	7.8%4 W · 47 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87f…9d9bbacked Yes	32c	481.64$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.71	50	28%14 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf6…2e04backed No	16c	434.96$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.85	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38d5…063cbacked Yes	69c	368.32$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.78	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6116…f247backed Yes	3c	364$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.4	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	45c	350$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.5	143	42%60 W · 83 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked No	56c	343.16$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.21	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes	71c	330.11$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.28	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8371…06febacked Yes	5c	325$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.75	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd848…626fbacked Yes	47c	312.67$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.72	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed No	6c	300$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	106	1.9%2 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc954…bdf5backed Yes	41c	255.45$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.2	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	10c	250$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.25	164	39.6%65 W · 99 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes	51c	244.91$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.03	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	41c	199.99$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	88	18.2%16 W · 72 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ba…0d36backed No	17c	198.35$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes	36c	195.78$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.68	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf863…82ccbacked Yes	49c	174.59$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.95	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes	22c	174$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.8	132	55.3%73 W · 59 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd519…4b81backed Yes	54c	152.93$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.08	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed No	46c	151.32$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.98	77	18.2%14 W · 63 L	-11.0wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x761b…e8f7backed Yes	25c	140$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.1	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes	25c	131.72$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.44	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes	40c	131.3$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.78	172	48.3%83 W · 89 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+41%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef4…c3a0backed Yes	52c	124$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51cb…19ebbacked No	24c	120.78$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05a…3736backed No	17c	111.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9edb…2755backed No	46c	107.54$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe640…0926backed No	51c	104.65$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.37	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-59%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1570…c893backed No	51c	97.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.25per pick	59cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa542…3601backed No	44c	94.48$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b39…f84dbacked No	19c	94.05$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked Yes	79c	89.53$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.56	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf26e…dcb8backed No	17c	89.26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af6…4434backed Yes	54c	85.92$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ab…48b9backed No	46c	84.31$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.87	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4798…3261backed No	17c	83.58$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1d…1236backed Yes	26c	80$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa969…f2b5backed No	23c	76.68$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcab5…a2c2backed Yes	59c	72.48$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.41	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec71…2318backed No	48c	69.75$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd78…3a79backed Yes	50c	69.58$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.58	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed Yes	29c	69.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.08	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…d05ebacked Yes	55c	68.03$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+68.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec9…edbebacked No	49c	67.94$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed No	48c	67.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	71	31%22 W · 49 L	-9.6wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaa1b…a6aebacked No	19c	66.58$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa227…76cbbacked No	47c	64.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c3…6ec3backed Yes	53c	62.97$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.46	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b43…7e90backed No	51c	62.57$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea9…ae91backed No	48c	58.51$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363f…91f2backed No	18c	57.92$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	50c	57.89$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.89	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x452f…a2e0backed Yes	55c	57.07$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.74	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb843…5a91backed No	47c	56.2$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13cd…245dbacked Yes	21c	56$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.26	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edc…d236backed Yes	56c	54.02$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.77	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No	42c	52.82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	88	37.5%33 W · 55 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7850…25c1backed Yes	55c	52.19$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.54	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+82.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f0…b266backed Yes	55c	51.91$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.41	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ec…f9f4backed Yes	56c	51.14$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes	75c	51.07$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.98	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed No	71c	48.73$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.55	243	51.4%125 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b56…958dbacked No	48c	48.62$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74d…959fbacked No	37c	48.15$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…71e6backed Yes	62c	47.48$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.15	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b70…91e4backed No	44c	47.45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa08e…6ad2backed Yes	55c	46.85$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.08	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x967c…e4fcbacked No	29c	46.79$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b68…2cdbbacked No	47c	46.22$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aeb…50a7backed Yes	52c	45.58$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bf…1f0ebacked No	44c	44.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…05edbacked Yes	51c	44.75$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b65…4052backed No	59c	44.37$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8e…fd02backed Yes	62c	44.32$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.93	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed4…692ebacked Yes	51c	44.01$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.57	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+80%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d1…af00backed Yes	80c	41.3$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.31	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…c1ecbacked Yes	76c	41.22$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.97	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd5…7c0bbacked No	47c	40.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1185…8de7backed Yes	54c	40.82$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.82	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43c3…d08abacked No	48c	40.79$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb0…6084backed No	48c	37.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c9…3a66backed Yes	64c	37.75$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb625…df44backed No	49c	37.65$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d25…f5cdbacked Yes	62c	37.03$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes	55c	36.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.43	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44c…81ffbacked No	48c	33.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb750…984cbacked Yes	80c	32.98$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+49.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd7…925ebacked Yes	35c	28.6$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x285b…b012backed Yes	79c	28.29$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?this page
Will A.J. Brown be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Bijan Robinson be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Breece Hall be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will CeeDee Lamb be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Christian McCaffrey be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Derrick Henry be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Garrett Wilson be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Jonathan Taylor be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Justin Jefferson be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Puka Nacua be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will Tyreek Hill be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won
Will another player be the top Fantasy Flex Player?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event