TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof FUT Esports, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$962,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,061,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $962,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed FUT Esports23c113,600$26,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,195.31,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked FUT Esports7c58,024$4,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,067.7322129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Spirit60c24,627$14,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,953.3517554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked FUT Esports34c21,219$7,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,214.614145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked FUT Esports21c19,999$4,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,194.8572644.4%322 W · 404 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3342…f908backed FUT Esports33c16,685$5,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,506.141942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports29c15,571$4,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit59c15,568$9,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,375.5832348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports30c15,320$4,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,607.241,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports18c13,721$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.262,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Spirit72c12,841$9,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.8513548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Spirit66c10,015$6,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.85240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Spirit66c9,780$6,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,325.229046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed Spirit74c9,679$7,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.141030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked FUT Esports32c7,146$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.6111650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…5abfbacked Spirit68c6,601$4,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.481346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit66c6,535$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.722,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked FUT Esports36c6,153$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2155267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked FUT Esports34c6,146$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.812634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed FUT Esports34c6,007$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.0637157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4002…b012backed FUT Esports33c6,000$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Spirit65c5,821$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.871,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed Spirit66c5,757$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.358246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Spirit68c5,620$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.4729449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked FUT Esports34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70027041.1%111 W · 159 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed FUT Esports32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.981241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Spirit66c4,890$3,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.625248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports22c4,781$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.461,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed FUT Esports34c4,319$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.493033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit76c4,079$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.9972153.7%387 W · 334 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ce1…f3aabacked FUT Esports37c4,028$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FUT Esports37c3,584$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.3559839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports36c3,508$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.8955236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Spirit67c3,332$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.6823646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked FUT Esports36c3,242$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports31c3,230$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.743,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1570…1404backed Spirit69c3,078$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.642835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x568b…4727backed Spirit66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.22864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked Spirit65c3,030$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.4710644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked FUT Esports1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3069624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Spirit57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.996536.9%24 W · 41 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed FUT Esports32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9911341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked FUT Esports22c2,986$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.243,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Spirit68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1813065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…9900backed FUT Esports36c2,808$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked FUT Esports36c2,781$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Spirit66c2,780$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.1147047.4%223 W · 247 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit63c2,727$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.141,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports33c2,626$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.532,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports24c2,564$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.695,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6810…1c7dbacked Spirit67c2,432$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.512969%20 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed FUT Esports24c2,351$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.4621143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed FUT Esports34c2,330$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.8367645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked FUT Esports43c2,303$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FUT Esports35c2,238$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.364852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Spirit68c2,212$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.624240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports25c2,210$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.2588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit64c2,207$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.582,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed FUT Esports32c2,200$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.8827045.9%124 W · 146 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Spirit67c2,188$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.4717250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Spirit61c2,100$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.5768453.8%368 W · 316 L-22.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Spirit72c2,084$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.275048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked FUT Esports35c2,082$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.8213315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed FUT Esports10c2,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.924535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68064552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked FUT Esports39c2,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77019849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed FUT Esports32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64050846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed Spirit64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.997844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Spirit65c1,929$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.0754732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f3…5402backed FUT Esports45c1,893$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.862650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3d…8554backed Spirit73c1,889$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.431353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Spirit66c1,835$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.913952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa45f…4e8dbacked FUT Esports43c1,820$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.61118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-73.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked FUT Esports2c1,773$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.782850%14 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit79c1,759$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8552834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Spirit66c1,700$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.9960748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FUT Esports37c1,649$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.664,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad1f…7f94backed FUT Esports34c1,643$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.684833.3%16 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed FUT Esports32c1,581$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.262236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Spirit72c1,561$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.1120041.5%83 W · 117 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports34c1,520$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.85,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed FUT Esports32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9937145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed FUT Esports28c1,444$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.3249841.8%208 W · 290 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc086…8128backed FUT Esports8c1,437$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11514748.3%71 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed FUT Esports7c1,424$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.357915.2%12 W · 67 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-56.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed Spirit58c1,424$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.0915150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Spirit77c1,350$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0440137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked FUT Esports24c1,328$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.63839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…b04cbacked Spirit66c1,323$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed FUT Esports39c1,291$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026939%105 W · 164 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Spirit61c1,287$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.7619857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Spirit69c1,286$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.531741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Spirit80c1,249$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0318445.7%84 W · 100 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FUT Esports15c1,231$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.622,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked FUT Esports29c1,208$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.465425.9%14 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aee…637abacked FUT Esports11c1,200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed FUT Esports34c1,190$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.96173.8%45 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked FUT Esports21c1,162$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.911564.3%74 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed FUT Esports1c1,132$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked FUT Esports28c1,121$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31014544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.