CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd9ab22b2adbf58c2d7cde1d0797b44cca3197eb9d5052262564f9d62536c7f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $598,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $677,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5901…63a2backed FUT Esports | 44c | 27,542$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,542.29 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 46c | 24,875$11,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,522.31 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Spirit | 6c | 19,458$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.82 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Spirit | 61c | 17,510$10,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,680.93 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed FUT Esports | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.77 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Spirit | 33c | 12,484$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.96 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…de2fbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 12,008$7,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Spirit | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,079.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed FUT Esports | 57c | 8,543$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.6 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…12a0backed Spirit | 62c | 8,241$5,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,109.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Spirit | 41c | 8,194$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.1 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Spirit | 50c | 7,045$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.41 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spirit | 8c | 6,940$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.88 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit | 2c | 6,485$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked FUT Esports | 36c | 6,257$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.36 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed FUT Esports | 57c | 5,628$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.07 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed FUT Esports | 37c | 5,334$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.31 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 5,192$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.81 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Spirit | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4002…b012backed FUT Esports | 40c | 5,000$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce1…f3aabacked FUT Esports | 51c | 4,508$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4e8dbacked Spirit | 76c | 4,417$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 44c | 4,130$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.53 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…52c2backed Spirit | 73c | 4,030$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed Spirit | 58c | 3,780$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.39 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 50c | 3,759$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.25 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit | 40c | 3,285$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.56 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Spirit | 29c | 3,252$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.73 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 56c | 3,213$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.44 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…89d7backed Spirit | 63c | 3,180$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed FUT Esports | 37c | 3,177$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.2 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Spirit | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 60c | 3,155$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.14 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked FUT Esports | 40c | 3,112$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.31 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 3,100$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.54 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed FUT Esports | 40c | 3,070$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…1404backed Spirit | 62c | 3,025$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.69 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Spirit | 69c | 2,945$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Spirit | 37c | 2,930$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.22 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 2,881$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.32 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Spirit | 43c | 2,778$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.81 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed FUT Esports | 55c | 2,756$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.38 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Spirit | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…4727backed Spirit | 60c | 2,550$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.99 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked FUT Esports | 50c | 2,386$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.26 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 2,273$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.53 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed FUT Esports | 41c | 2,268$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.89 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Spirit | 61c | 2,195$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.69 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…248bbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 2,153$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FUT Esports | 53c | 2,130$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.52 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…a90fbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 2,122$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.94 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 2,118$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.04 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Spirit | 60c | 2,100$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Spirit | 16c | 2,025$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.74 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Spirit | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +14.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit | 3c | 1,893$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdff…eab0backed Spirit | 1c | 1,877$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…82babacked FUT Esports | 34c | 1,775$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 32c | 1,772$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.77 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…1c7dbacked Spirit | 62c | 1,601$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed Spirit | 6c | 1,600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Spirit | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…0e2cbacked FUT Esports | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed FUT Esports | 39c | 1,564$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.08 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed FUT Esports | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc2…9876backed FUT Esports | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Spirit | 63c | 1,500$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Spirit | 62c | 1,500$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.98 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 61c | 1,458$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.04 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Spirit | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 1,407$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.66 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed Spirit | 68c | 1,400$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked FUT Esports | 65c | 1,328$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.88 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Spirit | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.97 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Spirit | 4c | 1,274$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed Spirit | 61c | 1,229$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.97 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed FUT Esports | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.88 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ba25backed FUT Esports | 39c | 1,160$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Spirit | 2c | 1,079$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed FUT Esports | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Spirit | 64c | 1,039$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.81 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Spirit | 47c | 1,001$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.74 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Spirit | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Spirit | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed FUT Esports | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Spirit | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.98 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Spirit | 59c | 993.11$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.94 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…fbfdbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 964.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.45 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Spirit | 64c | 952.07$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.32 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Spirit | 57c | 935$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.45 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Spirit | 42c | 912.26$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.15 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…c58bbacked Spirit | 60c | 882$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed FUT Esports | 31c | 881.82$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed Spirit | 58c | 864.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Spirit | 40c | 843.02$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.21 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Spirit | 77c | 800$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Spirit | 5c | 751.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…9d13backed Spirit | 57c | 719.8$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.74 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.