Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a0b6e8bc9b5aa614747957748913ee89458b64914b0ede1f4f267a09ec7d5b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 31c | 15,346$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,588.98 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 69c | 878.78$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.31 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 69c | 762$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.78 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 50c | 662.27$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.32 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…ae21backed Over | 72c | 575.22$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 69c | 477.23$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.29 | 548 | 29.6%162 W · 386 L | -36.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 33c | 392.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.32 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 71c | 363.3$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 35c | 312$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 69c | 272.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.24 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…af80backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 31c | 240$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Over | 69c | 227.83$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 33c | 213.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 967 | 49.8%482 W · 485 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aad…4b0bbacked Under | 67c | 160$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Under | 44c | 153.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 450 | 50.9%229 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 71c | 142.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…90bfbacked Over | 75c | 133.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 25c | 130.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Over | 40c | 101.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 91.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Over | 70c | 88.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 61c | 82.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 74c | 67.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Under | 72c | 55.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 31c | 51.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 30c | 45.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…688cbacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…1958backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e95…f5fcbacked Over | 69c | 43.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…3202backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 26c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Under | 37c | 40.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf9…7a19backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 39.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…97c8backed Under | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…aa5fbacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d9…026bbacked Over | 71c | 28.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 69c | 27.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 69c | 27.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…bedabacked Over | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 71c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.