Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceb15a71b42a083307de719b1333ca7746927bf7aedd223ce97277adfbe77c0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb40…c661backed Yes | 0c | 43,947$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 4,712$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,781$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,660$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.73 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 6c | 1,489$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 2c | 983.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 3c | 872.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 65c | 842.88$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…62fbbacked No | 76c | 776.47$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 4c | 683.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 77c | 588.5$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 6c | 582.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f623backed Yes | 12c | 455.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 71c | 363.87$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…b468backed Yes | 22c | 325.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…69d7backed Yes | 19c | 316$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed Yes | 35c | 282.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 6c | 280$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 264.3$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 258.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 17c | 245.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76a…5ae3backed Yes | 4c | 230.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…67b8backed Yes | 7c | 158.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 26c | 158$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…95e2backed Yes | 48c | 125.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 77c | 118$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 80c | 112.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…0b79backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 63c | 73.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x235b…db92backed Yes | 30c | 66.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 72c | 64.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 148 | 64.9%96 W · 52 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 78c | 63.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa2…3729backed Yes | 25c | 58.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 56.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 54.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…a8eabacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…083ebacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…897ebacked Yes | 41c | 49.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…106fbacked Yes | 41c | 48.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 77c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.