Boxing · resolved market
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6aa9e138ca022a6cd3cb4e93fe1719de5331d3109f61a6a9b1304e6afb6696d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed No | 69c | 4,945$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 3,978$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 44c | 3,874$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 31c | 2,800$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 55c | 2,010$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.39 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…b5a2backed No | 66c | 1,628$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d2…f36abacked Yes | 37c | 1,600$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 64c | 1,437$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed No | 66c | 1,364$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 1,189$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,107$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…9c50backed Yes | 30c | 1,024$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 2c | 987.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 18c | 844.84$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 62c | 714.02$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 45c | 611.56$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 28c | 599.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 27c | 474.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked No | 65c | 470$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 56c | 468.49$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 55c | 404.19$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed No | 23c | 349.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 30c | 334.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 59c | 308.91$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 31c | 254.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Yes | 43c | 230.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 65c | 214.22$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 44c | 213.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 69c | 213.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…2034backed Yes | 31c | 212.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 69c | 208.09$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 40c | 199.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff3…5971backed Yes | 39c | 176.51$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 172.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 6c | 168.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 43c | 164.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…d79fbacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…87f9backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Yes | 44c | 147.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 45c | 137$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…512cbacked No | 17c | 136$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 47c | 123.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 50c | 112.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32e…7f7bbacked No | 47c | 107.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d38…d383backed No | 57c | 102.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…4502backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380e…5f39backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…93f5backed Yes | 30c | 99.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 31c | 95.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 58c | 92.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 88.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes | 35c | 87.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…b4c0backed Yes | 40c | 87.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991b…f19abacked Yes | 52c | 84.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 58c | 80.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 70c | 69.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…562ebacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 61c | 62.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…4195backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cd…b120backed No | 69c | 57.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -82%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 56c | 48.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 58c | 40.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…2a4abacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…11dbbacked No | 69c | 36.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9626…87ccbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…618dbacked No | 68c | 34.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 56c | 32.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 70c | 28.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 66c | 28.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…bc59backed No | 79c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 64c | 20.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No | 74c | 20.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…1d7bbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966b…2ee6backed No | 62c | 19.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…7102backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?this page
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?No won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?Yes won
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.